The 2010 Alstom Open de France is our next stop on the European Tour, taking us to Paris and the top quality Le Golf National course. It's the 9th consecutive year we'll have played this tournament at Le Golf National so there's plenty of course history to review thankfully, plus with an excellent field (5 of the World's top 11 are here) attracted by the highest prize fund in continental Europe, it makes this a very interesting week for golf betting. In addition, there's still an Open Championship spot to win here for non-qualified/exempt players - the top finisher inside the top 5 who hasn't already qualified will gain a spot instantly.
The course is always set up strongly for this event and there's danger on many holes if you miss fairways; however hitting the correct areas of fairway allows you to get close and, with receptive greens expected, good scores are just as likely for players who can get their putter going. For me, a premium on GIR is key when using the predictor, however hitting it long on dry fairways and leaving a short wedge into the green may also pay dividends.
Trend-wise there's nothing of real note about the winners in recent years: Kaymer was coming into form last year when he won, however he'd missed the cut the week before; Larrazabel was a shock outsider in 2008; Storm had managed a couple of top 10s in his last 10 starts in 2007; Bickerton had missed 4 of 5 cuts in 2007 and Remesy's successful defence in 2005 came off the back of a very poor season.
I've used some of the predictor picks this week plus another of my own for my tips:
The predictor has Kaymer head and shoulders above his peers this week and who am I to argue with the World number 11 this week? Kaymer added this title to his growing list of victories last season with a playoff victory over Lee Westwood having already equalled the course record with a first round 62 and I fancy can repeat that feat again this year. He won the week after that too, plus added a further title this season in Abu Dhabi. He was in with a squeak at Pebble Beach a couple of weeks back; the only surprise for me was that he still managed a top 25 in Germany last week when he'd have been mentally and physically drained. No such issues this week and 20/1 represents excellent value, particularly if you take advantage of 888 Sport's no lose bet promotion.
The football-mad 25 year old will no doubt have been buoyed by Germany's progress in the World Cup to date and can take those positive vibes into his golf - if he wins then for me it will at least dull the pain of England's abysmal exit! RESULT: T6
Long-hitting Quiros has a great chance to add this title to an excellent season if Kaymer fails to deliver. Quiros is only a good win away from virtually guaranteeing himself a place on Monty's Ryder Cup team and I'd expect to see him back in contention this week following a quiet spell. I suspect that playing alongside his captain at Celtic Manor was more of a hindrance than a help in that event - if we pick up his form prior to that then you'll find top 10s in Madrid, Doral, Dubai and Qatar and of course his win in Seville in May.
We all know how far Quiros can hit the ball, however the key stat for me here is that he's hitting well over 70% of greens in regulation and also scoring very well at present. RESULT: T32
Welshman Dredge has been showing signs of late that a win is within his grasp this season if he can control his emotions when he hits the front, however it's his recent fast starts which appeal equally here. Overall his stats are picking up nicely as he strings some good performances together; equally he can play this course with 3 top 10 finishes in his last 7 attempts - now's the time for us to cash in!
The first round leader bet really appeals this week: Dredge started to find his form in Madrid with a first round 67 (6th position) before fading to 60th; next up he shot a first round 66 at Celtic Manor (2nd position) before finishing 18th; then in Portugal he shot 67 in round 1 (7th position) before finishing 21st and, to complete the sequence, he shot 64 last week to tie the lead after the first round before finishing 3rd. 80/1 for first round leader is an absolute steal and 80/1 about him to finish the job off this time has appeal too! RESULT: T51
Check out our top 20 'double your money' feature for this event here: Open de France DYM
All odds and bookmaker offers correct at 10:45BST 29.6.10 but naturally subject to fluctuation.
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