AT&T National Tips, Picks and Predictions 2010. Published & odds correct 20:00 BST 29.6.10
Tiger’s Tale
Tiger’s tournament, the AT&T National, celebrates its 4th season and there are a multitude of changes from the previous 3 incarnations. Based around the States' national birthday, the whole event celebrates and honours the US armed forces. The event has therefore moved from the nations Capital City to just outside of Philadelphia for a rare PGA Tour visit to Pennsylvania and the Donald Ross Par 70 design Aronimink Golf Club.
So Aronimink is a new course to the PGA Tour with no modern tournament history behind it. However one thing is absolutely clear. Tiger will have made the decision where to locate the tournament and he will have made absolutely sure that the course set up will suit his game and be a relatively tough warm up for St Andrews and the 2010 Open Championship. The Ross design is a stretching +7,200 Par 70, which includes a quad of +450 yard Par 4s and only 2 Par 5s one of which is +600 yards. Stretching indeed!
Local Pennsylvania favourites Jim Furyk and Sean O’Hair are second and third in the betting as the market makers think that their local knowledge will be key contributors to a week of contention. However, in my humble opinion, Woods will win. The signs in the 3rd Round of US Open at Pebble Beach indicated that Tiger’s competitiveness is close where it needs to be. Sure he took a backwards step on Sunday but then so did World Number 2 Mickelson, Els and Dustin Johnson! Aronimink will be an easier proposition than Pebble and the field hasn’t the same level of depth with many form players staying away and preparing for the Open Championship. Ask yourself this is there a player in the field who will be able to contend with Tiger going down the stretch at Tiger’s tournament?
So Tiger wins and so can you. Let me offer you the following Bamford pearls of wisdom:
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2) If you like I fancy Tiger to triumph on the Old Course at St Andrews read on. Let’s face it, the wide open expanses of St Andrews suits Woods perfectly and this will be his best chance to capture a 4th Claret jug and his 3rd victory on the Old Course. Be warned that a victory this week at AT&T National will see Tiger’s 7/2 price collapse to 2/1 or thereabouts. So guarantee a 7/1 Open Championship price NOW by utilising the £25 matched bet Extrabet promotion. Open an account and win the exclusive Open ticket prize draw and can follow him to victory! So WIN-WIN!
My AT&T National team including ‘Tigger’ is below:
Tiger Woods 4pts Win 7/2
with
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Let’s face it these prices aren’t going to last much longer so lets maximise our returns now. Tiger will contend at his own tournament and who in this limited field will have the mental capacity to go ‘head to head’ down the stretch?RESULT: T46
Ricky Barnes 1pt EW 40/1
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Barnes is seriously motivated at the moment for 2 reasons. One he sits 11th in Ryder Cup points and a victory here paves the way to an automatic spot in the US team. Secondly he wants to play at St Andrews and currently hasn’t qualified. A victory here or a Top 3 place could get him into the tournament as one of two designated PGA Tour form players. In great nick and likes Donald Ross designs as his 5th place at The Travelers showed last week. More Ross course form can be seen from his Nationwide Tour days when he finished 2nd to De Jonge at the 2008 Xerox Classic played at the very similar Irondequoit Country Club, New York state. RESULT: T16
Davis Love III 1pt EW 70/1
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Like Barnes, DL3 is highly motivated to go well this week in Pennsylvania. Released from the tough confines of Pebble Beach where he finished a creditable 6th, Love III has a real mission this week. He wants to play more major links style golf The North Carolinian based major winner loves coastal golf and actually lives on St Simons Island on the Atlantic coast in Georgia. He’s got on the plane for EVERY Open Championship since 1986 and as you would expect from a World Class player has finished in the Top 10 5 times. However DL3 is now ranked outside of the World Top 50 and will only get an invite to St Andrews if he pockets +$250,000 this week to overtake Bubba Watson as a designated PGA Tour form player. A 6th place finish at Donald Ross’s ‘jewel’ Pinehurst 2 course, at the 2005 US Open shows he has a liking for tough bent grass Par 70 designs and remember unlike Mr T he wants to get on that airplane. RESULT: Missed Cut
Carl Pettersson 0.5pt EW 100/1
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The jolly Swede is a Donald Ross specialist who plays Eastern state bent grass courses extremely proficiently. A winner of the Memorial in 2006 was followed up by a victory in 2008 at the Wyndham Championship on the Ross designed Sedgefield course. After a disastrous 2009 campaign Carl has steadily found form and 2010 has already yielded 2 Top 10 finishes. Indeed Pettersson’s last 5 tournament form numbers are impressively consistent at 34-28-22-MC-22. The big Swede's game is close to contention and I’m thinking he’ll pop up on the leaderboard this week. RESULT: 6th
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John Merrick 1pt Top 10 Finish
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Young Californian Merrick is a young player I’ve always followed. A 6th place finish on the fast bent grass greens of Augusta on debut last year highlighted to the world that Merrick is a definite talent. But 2010 has been poor for the long hitter who finished with 4 Top 10s in both 2008 and 2009 and he currently sits just inside the Top 125 money earners on Tour. However a season’s best 64 at The Travelers last Sunday indicates he’s at last found something in his game and I think he could well play well this week in Philly on a relatively stern course. Check out our top 20 tips for this event here: AT&T National Double Your Money RESULT: T16
