With the BMW and Tour Championship only having fields of 70 and 30 players respectively, our PGA Tour 'Double Your Money' feature has been parked until the Fall Series in October. However we’re launching a new Market Movers feature for the final Play Off tournaments, which is well worth a look. If you have never ‘traded’ on high priced outsiders before now is your chance. Quite simply if you pick the right outsiders its easy to lock in profit well before the tournament has even finished!
The BMW Championship marks the half way stage of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. 55 players have already packed their bags but now the real fun starts with only the top 30 players progressing to the Tour Championship in Georgia in 2 weeks time. Vijay Singh, Tiger Woods, K.J. Choi, Angel Cabrera, Ian Poulter, Stewart Cink and Camilo Villegas all sit outside the Top 30. On the ‘bubble’ sit Nick Watney, Rickie Fowler, Robert Allenby and Boy Wonder himself. It's last chance saloon for all these players and be very sure that they all want to make Atlanta where they can make serious money in the final FedEx standings.
Cog Hill is a lengthy +7,300 yard Par 71 in Chicago which in 2008 was Re-Designed by Rees Jones, whose courses include Aronimink, Redstone, Torrey Pines, East Lake (home of the Tour Championship) + recent major stop offs Oakland Hills, Bethpage and Hazeltine. Jones has ‘toughened’ the test at Cog Hill, where only 4 players made into double-digit red numbers in 2009.
I’m also expecting a slight change in the players we will see in contention this week. It’s incredibly hard to remain as a contender for 3 weeks straight. In addition, think through player motivation. Rickie Fowler, Stewart Cink and Zach Johnson will all want to justify the faith placed in them by Corey Pavin. Then we have the ‘stampede’ for the Top 30 where player’s who are finding a level of form will suddenly appear atop the leaderboard. Indeed 8 of the Top 14 players in the BMW last year were OUTSIDE the Top 30 in the FedEx standings. In Tiger’s case you can combine the two which makes for powerful reasons to back him this week. I’m also thinking that Mr Woods will take positives from the fact that his divorce is dealt with and Mickelson and Stricker appear to have a severe aversion to grabbing the World Number 1 spot. Whether they have the 'balls’ to grab Tiger’s coveted crown this week remains to be seen.
That’s right we have an exclusive £30 free bet offer with Ladbrokes and Vijay makes for a great reason to open an account a whopping Each Way price this week. The Florida based Fijian has started to build some momentum of late. His record of 11-MC-13-9 over the last 4 PGA Tour tournaments shows that his game is moving in the right direction. Currently sits 63rd in the FedEx standings, so needs a Top 5 result to guarantee a place in Atlanta for the first time since his triumph in 2008. As we all know Vijay’s nemesis is the flat stick, but even that’s starting to warm a little and on a track where scoring should be slightly higher than of late, Vijay can compete and offers real value this week. RESULT: T24
Stewart Cink 1pt EW 55/1 with Up to £200 in free bets via this link: Bet 365 £210 Free Bets
Cink has had a funny couple of seasons. The changes in technology and course set-up don’t appear to have favoured the Georgia based now 5-time Ryder Cup team member. Cink has only managed to score double digit red numbers 3 times in 2 seasons. It comes as no surprise then that his only triumph in the past 2 seasons was at Turnberry last year in tough conditions. Then you look at his 5 PGA Tour victories which have all been in Connecticut, Ohio or South Carolina on bent green courses. Unsurprisingly then you find that Cink has finished 4th and 7th at Cog Hill where course difficulty makes scoring more of a challenge. So with Pavin having placed faith in Stewart combined with Cink’s need to play well this week as he sits 35th in the FedEx standings, I’m adding him to the team this week. Form numbers of 18-15-18-19 show that his game is in good shape and he can contend in Illinois this week. RESULT: T21
Tiger Woods has won an incredible 5 times in Chicago and 4 times at Augusta. Trevor Immelman won his first PGA Tour tournament at Cog Hill in 06 then went and won The Masters in 08. Jim Furyk, who has finished in the Top 10 9 times at Cog Hill and won in 2005, has a great Masters record that includes 4 Top 10 finishes. You can see where I’m heading here! ‘El Pato’ therefore is a perfect play for me this week. The 2009 Green Jacket winner has made a habit of breezing into tournaments with no form and snatching victories. He pulled off the same feat in Boston last year and gleaned enough points from his 4th place finish to get into the Tour Championship. Saves his best performances for the bent grassed greens of the Mid West and East of the US and finishes of 18th (Boston) and 15th (New Jersey) add validity to his cause this week. His current 49th FedEx standing only adds to my view that Cabrera will be totally focussed to perform this week on a track that should hold no fears. RESULT: T63
Young in-form Australians have made a habit of contending at Cog Hill. Marc Leishman appeared from ‘nowhere’ to finish an incredible 2nd here last year. Aaron Baddeley pushed Tiger Woods for the victory in 2007 after finishing 5th the week before in Boston. The Western Open in 2006 at Cog Hill saw Mathew Goggin with a +200 World Ranking finish in the Top 3. So I was looking for an in-form, talented young Australian at a decent price and came up with Michael Sim. Progressive Playoff form of 36-11 are absolutely ideal and 3rd at the proceeding Wyndham doesn’t hurt either. Then you look at the Arizona-based Sim’s record on Rees Jones tracks and you can’t help but start thinking that he will be the Australian that the US commentators will be ‘shocked’ to find in contention. 2nd at Torrey Pines in February highlight that Sim has no fear of high altitude PGA Tour leaderboard positions. Tie that in with 51st at Hazeltine (PGA) and a great 18th at Bethpage (US Open) last season, when he topped the Nationwide standings, and Sim could well follow Leishman by finishing Top 5 on debut in Chicago. RESULT: T24
It won’t make us rich but Tiger makes a great saver bet this week especially in tandem with our exclusive £30 account opening offer with Ladbrokes. Naturally we only highlight market leading prices. Tiger’s swing changes at last seem to be bedding in and the Deutsche was a landmark for 2010. Tiger’s first run of 3 consecutive rounds in the 60s, in fact he’s now managed 5 in 8 rounds. Woods ‘owns’ Cog Hill and his lowly 51st position in the FedEx standings simply adds motivational power to his arm this week. Another interesting angle is that Tiger’s tournament, the AT&T National was hosted for a number of years at Congressional in Maryland. A Rees Jones designed Par 70 where Tiger won in 2009. You get the feeling he has the ‘eye’ for RJ designs! A Tour Championship without the World Number 1 seems unthinkable and that’s why I’ve added Tiger to the team this week. An early quote of 10/1 from Ladbrokes on Tiger was snapped up in seconds, however 7/1 still appeals...RESULT: T15