The Memorial Tournament Tips, Picks and Predictions.
An each way on Verplank and a ‘Double Your Money’ return on Corey Pavin at Colonial last week fill us with enthusiasm as we move ‘up country’ into June. We move from Texas to Ohio this week for Jack’s Tournament, The Memorial at Muirfield Village. The course is a brutish Par 72 that traditionally ranks in the top 5 of hardest stops on the PGA Tour. Hitting fairways and copious amounts of greens is an absolute key around here. Long enough to test, but with light winds forecast except for Sunday expect players have to shoot double digit red numbers to contend.
The nature of the course and the $6 million purse has attracted a superb depth of field with Woods, Mickelson, McIlroy, Stricker, Furyk and Els from the World’s Top 10 all present.
Naturally this big story is Tiger. Back in the old days when Tiger dominated all before him, Muirfield was a 3/1 “home win,” but those days of domination are currently on hold. But for just how long? I’ve been stung in recent weeks backing both Tiger and Mickelson, but don’t let that put you off as with me not tipping them up they are bound to feature! Tiger's generally available at around 13/2 but if you fancy Tiger at an incredible 13/1, YES 13/1, then read this great feature and we'll explain how to do it. We know he’s going to win soon, it’s just a matter of when, so the opportunity of a 13/1 return on Tiger Woods isn’t likely to last very long.
Certainly worth contemplating and as a result you’ll also be able to follow our profitable ‘Double Your Money’ bets as facilitated by place betting king Extrabet. My tips:
Justin Rose 0.75 pt
EW Best priced 80/1
RESULT: Winner
I know what you are thinking…..what a waste of this week’s staking plan on Rose. We’ll you could be right and I’ve been let down by Rose in the past, but I can’t turn away from the Englishman this week. Why? Well this is the time of the season when the Ryder Cup really starts to hit home for players. Unlike Luke Donald, Rose has shunned Wales this week for Ohio, and needs to make a run and make it now if he has any chance of qualification, most likely as one of Monty’s Captain Picks. On top of that Rose has a record I like the look of on similar type classical courses like Sedgefield, Quail Hollow and indeed at Muirfield where he finished 4th in 2004 and 2nd in 2008.
Sean O’Hair 1pt EW
Best priced 66/1
RESULT: T12
66/1 on O’Hair with Ladbrokes is market leading and the Connecticut native is as short as 40/1 elsewhere. Like Rose, O’Hair has a shot at reaching the American Ryder Cup team but needs to move quickly. 22nd at The Players and 12th at the Byron Nelson show that O’Hair is on the cusp of contention, but needs to find a little with the flat stick. 5th here in 2007 highlight’s his liking for the course and that’s backed up by his win at Quail Hollow last year in a very similar type test.
Lucas Glover 0.75pt
EW Best priced 80/1
RESULT: Missed Cut
We’re only 2 weeks away from the US Open and we find the defending champion at 80/1 with Ladbrokes. Surely he must be well out of form. 22nd Quail: 3rd The Players: 44th Colonial suggests otherwise. Glover grew up learning his trade on Carolina courses like Quail Hollow and Sedgefield so its no surprise that he finished 8th at Muirfield on debut in 2005. Glover’s liking of Par 5s also attracts this week, where any player wanting to contend has to score heavily on the 4 Par 5s.
Stewart Cink 0.75pt
EW Best priced 55/1
RESULT: T8
Reigning Open Champion Cink is starting to show signs of form at long last. Colonial last week marked the first tournament since September last year, where he completed 4 rounds of sub 70 golf. Allied to that he also finished with consecutive rounds of 66. This new found momentum tallies beautifully with a visit to Muirfield where he has 5 Top 10 finishes in 14 appearances. The momentum also tallies with Ryder Cup pressure. Cink currently sits 9th in qualification and needs to contend in tournaments to guarantee a seat on the plane for Wales in September.
Robert Allenby 1pt
EW Best priced 40/1
RESULT: Missed Cut
Right now Allenby is the PGA Tour’s “Mr Consistent”. Surely Robert is due a victory VERY soon and Muirfield is the type of track where he thrives. -15 and 2nd place at The Players last time out shows that he’s ready to win. Muirfield requires long straight driving and Allenby delivers that in abundance. He’s also putting brilliantly (for him!) in 2010 and scoring heavily so on a Muirfield track that Aussies play well on I see no reason why Allenby won’t be contending again this week.
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T20 Tips
Davis Love III 1.5
pts Top 5 Finish 16/1
RESULT: T52
Extrabet are offering superb value on DL3 this week. Here’s a player who thrives on courses where low scoring powered by long accurate driving is required. His record around tracks like Waielee, Quail Hollow and Augusta is excellent mainly due to his North Carolina golf education. 5 Top 10 finishes at Muirfield and 5th here in 2009. Can’t see him winning, but I’m comfortable enough to stake on Davis on a Top 5 and ties FULL payout with Extrabet.
Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 20:30BST 1.6.10 but naturally subject to fluctuation.
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