AT&T Pebble Beach Tips

AT&T Pebble Beach

I’m not a lover of backing favourites in Golf Tournaments, but on the odd occasion when you stack up absolutely everything you can’t see past certain outcomes.  Let me explain. Pebble Beach is a true ‘specialists’ event.  This event is another one of those blasted Pro-Ams that are dead boring to watch.  6 hours per round is the norm, so patience is a pre-requisite. 

Add to that the novel nature of Pebble Beach itself.  A spectacular coastal course, with small poa-annua greens and amazing backgrounds and vistas.  With the US Open back here in June, expect the course to play extremely tough.  However they only play 36 holes around Pebble Beach, with Spyglass and Poppy Hills courses playing an extremely important role in the tournament mix. 

With rain forecast for Friday and fairly tranquil conditions across the weekend, I’m expecting the North Americans to dominate and Californian’s to move to the fore in the tricky west coast poa-annua greens.  I just can’t see past Phil this week.  Sorry! 

Phil Mickelson 3pts Win @ 9/1 Click here to claim your £10 free matched bet.

Lefty loves Pebble Beach.  3 Wins and a pair of 3rds isn’t too bad a record.  However his form is poor right now.  But just as night follows day, Phil always sorts his form out as February progresses. A few sessions with Butch Harmon, will soon get rid of the rust.  He was NEVER going to win at Torrey Pines @ 15/2 and it was unlikely he would win at Riviera last week at 8/1.  So I’ll take the 9/1 on offer from Sky .  Fact is that Phil wins on the West Coast swing in February and if it isn’t this week it will be at 10/1 or higher in Phoenix after the Accenture Match Play. So I’m taking the plunge.  Well ranked in this week’s Predictor model despite poor form.

Mike Weir 1.25pts EW @ 28/1

Our friends from Expekt have saved me this week.  Weir was as long as 30/1 last night but has been backed into 22/1 in some places.  It’s easy to see why.  Combine current form and Pebble course form together and it’s tough to beat the Utah domiciled Canadian.  7 Top 10s from 12 attempts is a fabulous percentage and his 2nd place last year was his best performance in a slightly disappointing 2009.  A WGR position of 40 shows where Weir is right now, but the 8-time PGA Tour winner has all the attributes to score his first win since 2007.  I’m lucky to get on at 28s.  Thanks to all those at Expekt

Matt Kuchar 1pt EW @ 28/1 Betfred Click here to claim up to £50 of free bets.

If there is a player in better form than Kuchar right now he’s hard to find.  The Floridian is playing arguably the best golf of his career and impressively he’s contending across all types of golf course.  Kuchar though really attracts this week for a couple of key reasons.  In the main players who have decent Top 10 form going into this tournament contend.  A 2nd, 3rd and 20th (at Riviera last week where he traditionally struggles) isn’t a bad return from 4 2010 outings.  Allied to that Kuchar plays ‘classical’ courses well and save his strongest performances for Nicklaus designs (Pebble is a Nicklaus Re-Design).  14th last year, 34th in 08 and 6th in 07 at Pebble, show that Kuchar could go very close this week.  Again scores highly in this week’s Predictor model

D.J.Trahan 0.75pt EW @ 80/1 EXCLUSIVE to Ladbrokes Click here to claim your £10 free bet.

Like most golf punters I’ve been burnt on Trahan before, but I can’t stay away especially at 80/1 with Ladbrokes He’s playing well right now and is an excellent ball-striker.  His Pro-Am career is impressive with a win in 2008 at the BHC backed up by 6th here last year and 7th 3 weeks ago again at the BHC.  I also like Trahan this week purely for his background.  He grew up in Charlestown, South Carolina on the Eastern seaboard, so grew up with sea-side golf.  That can also be seen in his impressive 4th place at the 2008 US Open at Torrey Pines. 

Jamie Lovemark  1pt Top 10 @ 18/1 EXCLUSIVE to StanJames Click here to claim up to £25 free bet.

The young Californian hit the headlines at the end of 2009 when he contended for Open.  Currently on the Nationwide Tour and in great nick after finishing 3rd in New Zealand recently.  His 75% GIR% so far in 2010 also demands attention on a track where it’s absolutely paramount.  Studied at USC in Los Angeles and has experience of Torrey Pines from junior events.  It’s a punt, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see the young Santa Fe resident go well this week. 

Odds and bookmaker offers correct at time of publishing (19.30BST 9.2.10) but naturally subject to fluctuation.


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