US Masters Longshots Tips

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Steve Bamford's Longshots Tips for the 2018 US Masters. Follow Steve on twitter: @bamfordgolf

Picking out some of the best outsiders for The Masters is one of my favourite pieces to write all year. Fact is, with all the focus on the top 10 or so in the betting, there's still value to be found if you dig deep enough into the market at Augusta this week. Defending Champion Sergio Garcia was a 45/1 shot with some bookies before last year's event, however the last few years have generally produced some tasty 3-figure each-way places or better:

2018 Masters Each-Way Betting Options

This is the 10th Masters that we've covered here at Golf Betting System. We've never seen so many each-way places available to punters, but importantly we've also never seen the amount of different options available. That's an important point, as from as many as 10 places each-way 1/5 odds to the very standard 5 places at 1/4 odds are available. Now the each-way terms available this week make for an interesting dilemma - do you stick rigidly to 5 places each way and grab a top price on an outsider, or do you accept a reduced price in exchange for more favourable each-way terms? Naturally it's a personal decision, so for the purpose of this piece we'll list the options available plus detail multiple prices as necessary based upon the variations in odds offered.

IMPORTANT NOTE: Each way terms are valid until the tournament begins, after that point the terms will inevitably change.

Coral - 10 Places Each-Way at the 2018 Masters Coral Free Bet

Coral are offering 10 places each-way at the 2018 Masters. Coral, via Golf Betting System, offer new customers a freshly boosted Bet £/€10 Get £/€30 of free bets sportsbook account opening offer. 18+, T&Cs apply: No promo code required – use this qualifying link to claim.

In terms of other extended each-way place offers, bet365 and Paddy Power are both going 8 places each way at 1/5 odds with some attractive odds on offer too across both brands:

Bet365 bet365 have gone 8 places EW at 1/5 odds plus get up to £100 in Bet Credits for new accounts using code SPORT100 - details here.

Paddy Power have gone 8 places EW at 1/5 odds plus get a £/€20 risk-free bet for new accounts using code YSKA01 - details here.

Whilst all of these bookmakers are giving us additional each-way places, one bookmaker stands alone in 2018. Ladbrokes have set out their stall clearly paying the standard 5 places each-way at 1/4 odds. On the other side of the coin though, Ladbrokes are offering market-leading odds across a whole swathe of the 2018 Masters field from 66/1 and above:

ladbrokes Ladbrokes are offering 5 places EW at 1/4 odds plus get up to a £50 matched bet for new accounts using code F50 - details here.

As well as my outright market tips, I'm also backing the following 3 players this week at longer odds:

Tyrrell Hatton 1pt EW 70/1 with Get a £/€20 risk-free bet** for new accounts using code YSKA01 and this qualifying link.

Tyrrell Hatton looks totally overlooked at anything as big as 80/1 in the market and I find that hard to understand. Yes, he came here 12 months ago and missed the cut, but he won't be the first player to have been totally bamboozled by the Masters experience on debut. Apart from that it's all good for me with Hatton who has yet again settled down nicely on the PGA Tour in 2018. A last 16 loser to an inspired Cameron Smith at the Dell Match Play, 3rd at the WGC-Mexico Championship and 3rd at the Dubai Desert Classic in 2018 highlights a player who's playing some very nice golf right now and we know he can mix it at both WGC and Major Championship level. Don't forget he was 5th at the Open Championship and 10th at the Baltusrol-hosted PGA Championship in 2016 and I like his competitive streak whereby he isn't intimidated in the biggest tournaments. Great results across both Emirates Golf Club - 8th (2016), 3rd (2017) and 3rd (2018) and Crans-sur-Sierre - 3rd (2014), 3rd (2015) and 3rd (2017) tie in well with the last 2 winners here in Garcia and Willett, but I also like Hatton for his strong links with St Andrews as Augusta winners Tiger Woods, Zach Johnson, Jordan Spieth and Sergio Garcia all have excellent records at the Home of Golf, as does 2016 champion Danny Willett. So getting on board the 2016 and 2017 Alfred Dunhill Links winner Hatton makes lots of sense to me at a rather tasty price. Hatton is currently available at a market-leading 80/1 with Ladbrokes if you prefer.

Patrick Cantlay 1pt EW 75/1 with Bet365 *For the latest bet365 Opening Account Offer details see below.

A look at recent each-way Augusta returnees shows a liking for a number of correlating courses. Pebble Beach works for the likes of Casey, Holmes and Kuchar. Copperhead works for Casey, Oosthuizen and Schwartzel. Conway Farms works for Holmes, Leishman and Schwartzel. Sheshan works nicely for Casey, Leishman, Oosthuizen, Schwartzel and Westwood. Finally Riviera is intrinsic with Casey, Holmes, Pieters, Schwartzel and Westwood all having top 5 finishes at Hogan's Alley. So Patrick Cantlay ticks many of those course links very nicely. 9th at Pebble Beach (2013) came when Patrick had just turned pro. Last year he delivered 2nd at Copperhead, 9th at Conway Farms and 15th at Sheshan International, but it was February this year at Riviera where he really jumped out to me as somebody to follow at Augusta. A first round -5/66 saw him leap to the top of the leaderboard where he stayed throughout, eventually finishing 4th. Patrick hits greens for fun, is long, high and straight off the tee, which is pretty perfect for Augusta National. He also ranks 4th for Going for the Green this season on the PGA Tour, so he'll have no hesitation when it comes to the par-5s. 2012 saw him finish 47th here as an amateur and as we know he's far better now than 6 years ago. Cantlay is currently available at a market-leading 80/1 with Ladbrokes if you prefer.

Zach Johnson 1pt EW 125/1 with Bet365 *For the latest bet365 Opening Account Offer details see below.

Major Championships aren't won on spreadsheets but Zach Johnson's PGA Tour stats are eye-catching to say the least. The 2007 Masters Champion sits 12th in Scoring Average, 4th in Bogey Avoidance, 25th in Birdie or Better Conversion, 15th in par-4 Scoring Average and 13th in par-5 Scoring Average. Yes, he isn't the bomber we all look for at Augusta, but as a previous champion and a player who was 9th here just 3 years ago in 2015, I think he's a credible each-way punt this week. I also remember many saying he couldn't win the 2015 Open Championship at St Andrews on the basis that the course was set-up to suit bombers - the rest is history!

Correlating course form-wise, Johnson as you would expect ticks a lot of the boxes we're looking for from players who've recently scored at bigger prices. 2nd at Firestone South last year links in well with Casey, Oosthuizen, Pieters, Schwartzel and Westwood. His win at Conway Farms in 2013 and his victory at St Andrews in 2015 also shine like a beacon. Johnson also likes where his game is at right now and I can see him being a factor at a tournament which may well be affected more than usual by challenging conditions.

Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 17:20BST 3.4.18 but naturally subject to fluctuation. Author Steve Bamford, Find us on Google+

* bet365 New Customer Offer - Significant Terms: New Customers only. Up to £100 in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5 or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply - claim your offer here using bonus code SPORT100 during registration.

** Paddy Power £/€20 risk-free offer: New customers only. Limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses Paddy Power will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/€20. Only deposits made using cards or PayPal will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply - claim your offer here using promo code YSKA01 during registration.

             

 

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