Course Overview.
The Irish Open tends to move around a bit in terms of venue and this year Trump International Golf Links at Doonbeg, County Clare, will host the Irish Open for the first time, well worth bearing this in mind when reviewing the event history stats this week.
Doonbeg was originally designed by Greg Norman, with construction beginning in 1999 before the course opened for play in 2002. Following the Trump Organisation’s acquisition of the resort in 2014, Martin Hawtree was commissioned to undertake an extensive redesign of the course which occupies around 1.5 miles of coastline, with the routing working its way through imposing natural dunes and views of the Atlantic available from 16 of its 18 holes.
According to the DP World Tour website, Doonbeg will play to a par of 70 measuring 6,838 yards for the Irish Open, significantly different from its regular 7,026-yard, par-72 configuration used for the members. The usual par-5 1st and 13th holes have been converted into demanding par 4s measuring 498 and 492 yards respectively, leaving an unusual tournament layout consisting of five par 3s, ten par 4s and just three par 5s. Fairways, tees and greens feature a mixture of Fescue, Bentgrass and Ryegrass, with Fescue and Meadow grass forming the rough and Marram grass covering the surrounding dunes.
Tournament Stats. We’ve published some key statistics for this week’s event that will help to shape a view on players who traditionally play well in this event, although as previously noted this week’s venue is hosting for the first time: Current Form | Event Form | First Round Leader Stats | Combined Stats.
Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here. As always you can build your own model using the variables available.
Our brand new predictor model is also available for this week’s Irish Open where you can build your own rankings in live time using the variables listed on the left hand side.
Event Winners. 2025: Rory McIlroy, 4/1; 2024: Rasmus Hojgaard, 22/1; 2023: Vincent Norrman, 50/1; 2022: Adrian Meronk, 22/1; 2021: Lucas Herbert, 33/1; 2020: John Catlin, 40/1; 2019: John Rahm, 8/1; 2018: Russell Knox, 28/1; 2017: Jon Rahm, 14/1; 2016: Rory McIlroy, 4/1; 2015: Soren Kjeldsen, 150/1; 2014: Mikko Ilonen, 80/1; 2013: Paul Casey, 50/1; 2012: Jamie Donaldson, 66/1; 2011: Simon Dyson, 25/1; 2010: Ross Fisher, 20/1.
Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for the area is here.
Sunshine and showers is the overall summary for the four days of tournament play, with temperatures reaching around 17 Centigrade/63 Fahrenheit in the afternoons. The breeze will be moderate at times at around 15mph, however that’s nothing excessive for a course built for more significant wind.
Tournament Trends & Key Factors. Looking at the last few Irish Opens gives us some idea of that kind of skill-sets that this week’s test may demand:
- 2025: Rory McIlroy. 310 yards (2nd), 64.3% fairways (20th), 76.4% greens in regulation (7th), 70.6% scrambling (10th), 1.70 putts per GIR (9th).
- 2024: Rasmus Hojgaard. 313 yards (3rd), 35.7% fairways (67th), 66.7% greens in regulation (9th), 62.5% scrambling (11th), 1.73 putts per GIR (9th).
- 2023: Vincent Norrman. 308 yards (14th), 57.1% fairways (50th), 75.0% greens in regulation (14th), 72.2% scrambling (9th), 1.71 putts per GIR (36th).
- 2022: Adrian Meronk. 288 yards (39th), 44.6% fairways (70th), 82.0% greens in regulation (1st), 61.5% scrambling (50th), 1.65 putts per GIR (10th).
- 2021: Lucas Herbert. 313 yards (5th), 53.6% fairways (35th), 68.1% greens in regulation (34th), 73.9% scrambling (15th), 1.60 putts per GIR (5th).
- 2020: John Catlin. 279 yards (55th), 62.5% fairways (6th), 72.2% greens in regulation (6th), 80% scrambling (2nd), 1.78 putts per GIR (26th).
- 2019: Jon Rahm. 309 yards (4th), 60.7% fairways (3rd), 73.6% greens in regulation (17th), 52.6% scrambling (50th), 1.65 putts per GIR (8th).
- 2018: Russell Knox. 305 yards (18th), 53.3% fairways (19th), 77.8% greens in regulation (1st), 62.5% scrambling (18th), 1.73 putts per GIR (15th).
- 2017: Jon Rahm. 302 yards (8th), 51.8% fairways (36th), 81.9% greens in regulation (4th), 46.2% scrambling (56th), 1.61 putts per GIR (3rd).
- 2016: Rory McIlroy. 293 yards (9th), 60.7% fairways (23rd), 83.3% greens in regulation (1st), 58.3% scrambling (21st), 1.87 putts per GIR (52nd).
- 2015: Soren Kjeldsen. 280 yards (28th), 67.9% fairways (5th), 62.5% greens in regulation (18th), 66.7% scrambling (5th), 1.82 putts per GIR (19th).
- 2014: Mikko Ilonen. 291 yards (31st), 51.9% fairways (31st), 73.6% greens in regulation (27th), 78.9% scrambling (1st), 1.66 putts per GIR (6th).
- 2013: Paul Casey. 287 yards (18th), 44.6% fairways (41st), 73.6% greens in regulation (10th), 68.4% scrambling (10th), 1.68 putts per GIR (4th).
- 2012: Jamie Donaldson. 289 yards (8th), 58.9% fairways (35th), 62.5% greens in regulation (64th), 63.0% scrambling (5th), 1.51 putts per GIR (1st).
A variety of different courses used may explain the disparity between stats in the results above and, depending on the course and conditions being played on any given year, either high GIR or a strong short game has been the winning formula in general.
Incoming Form: There are positives to pick out of the recent form of our past 14 Irish Open champions and none arrived in what you’d class as poor form.
All 14 had recorded a top-20 finish in their previous 7 outings, with nine of our last ten winners each having finished in the top four in one of their previous five starts.
A similar trend continues with Dyson (2011) and Fisher (2010), broken eventually by the shock win from Shane Lowry as an amateur back in 2009:
- 2025, Rory McIlroy: 1/7/47/MC/19/6/2/7/12/23
- 2024, Rasmus Hojgaard: MC/20/4/21/60/53/3/17
- 2023, Vincent Norrman: MC/MC/24/1/25/50/58/49
- 2022, Adrian Meronk: 61/28/3/3/MC/6/3/MC
- 2021, Lucas Herbert: MC/70/46/MC/MC/71/18/19
- 2020, John Catlin: 8/43/51/6/MC/25/1/8
- 2019, Jon Rahm: 12/6/24/9/MC/MC/3/2
- 2018, Russell Knox: MC/MC/16/20/44/12/38/2
- 2017, Jon Rahm: 10/27/4/72/2/MC/MC/10
- 2016, Rory McIlroy: 20/MC/3/27/4/10/4/12
- 2015, Soren Kjeldsen: MC/45/MC/14/MC/31/9/18
- 2014, Mikko Ilonen: 5/33/37/MC/8/MC/38/32
- 2013, Paul Casey: MC/16/MC/8/MC/51/45/53
- 2012, Jamie Donaldson: 51/3/63/44/15/53/WD/22
Event Form: Given the nomadic nature of this event, the mixed nature of Irish Open results for our recent winners isn’t overly surprising:
- 2025, Rory McIlroy: MC/7/50/35/34/10/MC/MC/MC/1/MC/28/59/16/2
- 2024, Rasmus Hojgaard: 41/MC/MC
- 2023, Vincent Norrman: 61
- 2022, Adrian Meronk: 10/MC
- 2021, Lucas Herbert: 55/7
- 2020, John Catlin: Debut
- 2019, Jon Rahm: 1/4
- 2018, Russell Knox: 2
- 2017, Jon Rahm: Debut
- 2016, Rory McIlroy: MC/7/50/35/34/10/MC/MC/MC
- 2015, Soren Kjeldsen: MC/33/MC/35/6/64/MC/45/35/30/MC/18/MC
- 2014, Mikko Ilonen: 49/MC/WD/16/MC/MC/10/32
- 2013, Paul Casey: MC/13/2
- 2012, Jamie Donaldson: MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/13/21/45
A new course to the Tour muddies the water this week as is often the case on the DP World Tour, however players with a positive links record in the UK and Ireland may well like what they see here this week.