Paul Williams

Paul Williams' Danish Golf Championship Tips 2025

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A seriously impressive performance from 60/1 selection Grant Forrest secured us a nice winner last week and what was his second DP World Tour title, both of which have been won on home soil. What turned out to be an excellent bogey on 12 pretty much secured Forrest the title, with his closing double bogey of little consequence given his 6-shot lead heading up the final hole.

On to this week we go and it’s a similar conundrum that we face to last week. Formerly called the ‘Made In Denmark’ and latterly the ‘Made In Himmerland’, we’re off to pastures new for Denmark’s premier golf tournament with Furesø Golf Klub making its debut on the DP World Tour with the event being renamed as simply the ‘Danish Golf Championship’ last season.

Both of the Hojgaard twins are in attendance this week with Nicolai rating as the marginal favourite at a general 12/1, however the bookies are struggling to split his brother Rasmus from the likes of Matt Wallace, Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson and Thorbjorn Olesen, with Marco Penge, Kristoffer Reitan, Jesper Svensson and Niklas Norgaard all well-respected in the market too.

Course Overview. Furesø Golf Klub to the north of Copenhagen in the east of Denmark is our venue this year and the DP World Tour gets its first look at the layout which opened in 1975 as a 9-hole par 3 course and has gradually evolved since.

Described as a parkland course, there are 3 sets of 9 holes here each with unique characteristics, with this week’s layout combining two of the nines. The combined card adds up to 7,011 yards for its par of 71, according to the DP World Tour website, with the front 9 significantly shorter than the front. As ever, take early yardages on a new course to the Tour with a pinch of salt as they are prone to adjustments.

Bunkering is extensive on both nines, both flanking many of the fairways and protecting the greens, however the challenge of this course would seem to be finding the correct parts of the tricky, undulating putting surfaces to give yourself scoring chances. Water is in play on a number of holes as the course works its way around the lakes on the property, suggesting this is more of a positional course than one which can be simply overpowered.

Tournament Stats. We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s Danish Golf Championship that will help to shape a view on players who traditionally play well at this event.

As previously noted, we’re at a new course for the event so event history stats should be considered accordingly: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader Stats | Combined Current/Event Form Stats

Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here. As always you can build your own model using the variables available.

Winners & Prices. 2024: Frederic Lacroix, 33/1; 2023: Rasmus Hojgaard, 22/1; 2022: Oliver Wilson, 200/1; 2021: Bernd Wiesberger, 20/1; 2019: Bernd Wiesberger, 70/1; 2018: Matt Wallace, 40/1; 2017, Julian Suri: 60/1; 2016: Thomas Pieters: 12/1; 2015: David Horsey, 80/1; 2014: Marc Warren, 30/1.

Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for the area is here.

Largely sunny skies will greet the players this week with temperatures nudging towards 26 Centigrade/79 Fahrenheit on Thursday and Friday before dropping away just a little over the weekend. Any breeze there is will be generally light at 5-10mph.

Event Winners – Incoming Form: Marc Warren arrived in Denmark 11 years ago in decent form having finished 3rd at the Scottish Open, 39th at the Open Championship then a creditable 15th at the US PGA Championship. He’d been putting consistently well for a few weeks, ranking inside the top-20 for putts per GIR on each of his last 4 starts and found enough greens on the week in windy conditions to compile a winning score.

David Horsey’s form the year after was less obvious having recorded 4 top-20 finishes in the season, however he too had been putting reasonably well, recording 3 top-20 putting performances out of his most recent 4 cuts made.

Thomas Pieters was 2nd favourite for this title 9 years ago having arrived after finishes of 4th at The Olympics and 2nd the week before when defending in the Czech Republic and his chance was a fairly obvious one, whereas Julian Suri was still relatively under-the-radar as he was still playing predominantly on the Challenge Tour, however a runner-up finish in Portugal and 16th on his previous start – where he was 4th going into the final day – suggested that he wasn’t far away from winning at this kind of level.

Matt Wallace arrived in Denmark in 2018 following a disappointing 36th in the Czech Republic when chasing an unlikely Ryder Cup qualification. With his only remaining chance to win and impress an on-looking Thomas Bjorn, the Englishman did just that by birdieing 5 of his final 6 holes to make a 4-man play-off which he won with birdies at both the first and second extra hole. Wallace had already won the Indian Open and BMW International Open in the season.

For the first of his wins, Bernd Wiesberger arrived with some steadily improving overall form to his name, having started the 2019 season slowly. 23rd at the Indian Open contained some brief glimpses of improvement before a 68/68 weekend in China had registered his best finish of the year. A final round 76 on his last start at the British Masters masked his overall progression and 70/1 was the reward for those who sided with the Austrian. The Covid-delayed defence of his title in 2021 by the Austrian came off of fairly non-descript form.

Oliver Wilson’s win in 2022 came with a season’s best finish of 12th in Qatar 5 months prior, however there was at least a spark of form the previous week when firing a 2nd round 64 at Crans-sur-Sierre and taking just 109 putts over the course of the week:

Rasmus Hojgaard’s win at Himmerland in 2023 was frustrating for punters given that he’d withdrawn from the BMW International Open on his last start with a rib injury and that same ailment kept him out of the previous week’s British Masters too. The underlying form was undoubtedly there though with 3rd at the KLM Open 6 weeks before his best finish of the season to that point.

Finally, Frederic Lacroix grabbed his maiden DP World Tour title in this event 12 months ago, building on progressive form of 20th at the BMW International Open before the break for the Open Championship then 3rd at the Czech Masters the week before his success at Lübker Golf Resort:

  • 2024: Frederic Lacroix: MC/50/65/21/MC/13/34/46/WD/MC/20/3
  • 2023: Rasmus Hojgaard: 7/MC/38/20/6/16/MC/47/MC/3/50/WD
  • 2022: Oliver Wilson: 42/MC/64/MC/MC/MC/70/MC/41/MC/33/44
  • 2021: Bernd Wiesberger: 36/25/6/53/59/31/MC/42/MC/40/34/MC
  • 2019: Bernd Wiesberger: MC/MC/51/42/MC/MC/MC/55/MC/23/14/70
  • 2018: Matt Wallace: MC/3/20/51/MC/1/MC/MC/MC/MC/19/36
  • 2017: Julian Suri: 31/1/3/23/11/MC/27/23/MC/16
  • 2016: Thomas Pieters: 28/26/MC/27/16/29/30/86/4/2
  • 2015: David Horsey: 42/15/MC/MC/38/11/MC/MC/66/33
  • 2014: Marc Warren: 33/28/16/MC/29/MC/26/3/29/15

Event Form Of Winners: In terms of event form here in Denmark, Oliver Wilson and Matt Wallace both had some positive history and Bernd Wiesberger won at Himmerland either side of the Covid break, however aside from that there’s not a great deal of correlation:

  • 2024: Frederic Lacroix: 62/35
  • 2023: Rasmus Hojgaard: MC/MC/MC/22
  • 2022: Oliver Wilson: 26/60/4
  • 2021: Bernd Wiesberger: 1
  • 2019: Bernd Wiesberger: Debut
  • 2018: Matt Wallace: 6
  • 2017: Julian Suri: Debut
  • 2016: Thomas Pieters: 35
  • 2015: David Horsey: 39
  • 2014: Marc Warren: Debut

As per last week, we’re largely playing a guessing game with regards how this setup will play and which players it may favour. As with the previous Danish venues this isn’t a long course though and strategic play combined with accurate approach shots could prove to be the key ingredient.

My final Danish Golf Championship tips are as follows:

Matt Wallace 3pts EW 14/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Betfred

It’s now or never for Matt Wallace and he’s my pick of the logjam at the top of the market. Don’t worry GBS Podcast regulars, I’m not going to ruin an Elvis classic with a poor rendition of the King of Rock and Roll’s classic to emphasise Matt’s predicament, but suffice it to say that this week and next are the Englishman’s sole and unequivocal focus if he’s going to stand any chance of convincing Luke Donald that he’s worthy of a place in his final 12.

At 11th in the rankings as it stands, the 35 year-old will undoubtedly be in the captain’s thought process for that tricky final pick or two, however I feel that he needs to win this week or next to really stand a chance of convincing the gaffer.

We’ve seen this before with Matt at the 2018 Made in Denmark, essentially this event under another guise and at another course, where he needed to win to even stand a chance of onlooking Ryder Cup captain Thomas Bjorn picking him for that year’s team, and he obliged in some style. Birdies at 5 of the final 6 holes in regulation play got the fiery Hillingdon man into a 4-way play-off which he won with birdies on both holes to take the title in impressive fashion, and although it ultimately wasn’t enough to convince Bjorn to take him to the Ryder Cup, it at least showed he’s capable of producing the goods when it really matters.

We’ve also seen Wallace step down from PGA Tour to DP World Tour level with fairly immediate results having won last year’s Omega Masters a week after finishing 8th at The Belfry upon his return across the Atlantic. There’s no such warm-up this year I grant you, however the fact remains that he is more than capable of beating this field.

3rd at the 3M Open gave Matt an outside chance of making the FedEx Cup PlayOffs with a big result at the Wyndham Championship, and although that didn’t happen a tie for 27th wasn’t disastrous and he arrives here knowing that he’s in decent shape given how positive he’s been of late on social media about the state of his game. RESULT: T64

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Andy Sullivan 1.5pts EW 33/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Betfred

I last backed Andy Sullivan at the Italian Open after a similarly encouraging run of form for much the same reasons as I’m backing him this week, hopefully though he can improve on the 33rd place finish he mustered that week and seriously contend for a fifth DP World Tour title almost exactly five years after his last victory.

Three times a winner back in 2015 in a stretch of form that ultimately saw him qualify by rights for the 2016 Ryder Cup, it was his 2020 victory at the English Championship that interested me most for the Italian Open and the same logic applies this week too. Hanbury Manor was the host course that summer as golf got back underway after the Covid lockdowns and Sullivan mastered that short, parkland Par 71, eventually running out as the 7-stroke winner at a massive 27-under.

That effort came after finishes of 4th at the British Masters and 41st at the Hero Open the week before where he was top-20 heading into the weekend, and he arrives here with even more eye-catching form of 17th at the Scottish Open and 7th last week in Aberdeen, rounded off the week in style with a pinpoint approach and birdie on the 72nd hole. RESULT: T16

Generally a shorter-hitting but tidy operator with a strong approach game, it was the flat stick which shone last week as he ranked 8th on the week for SG Putting, and that bodes well ahead of a week with perfect golfing conditions where a score should be there to be made on a course which I think suits him far better.

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Oliver Lindell 1.5pts EW 45/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Betfred

Having won three times on the Nordic Golf League before the age of 18, it’s fair to say that Oliver Lindell hasn’t pushed on at quite the rate that was anticipated of him at that tender age. Now aged 26 perhaps he’s matured enough and learned enough to take the next step, and there are certainly signs that he’s quite capable of competing at DP World Tour level.

A fabulous finish to his 2024 Challenge Tour campaign saw Lindell record eight consecutive top-9 finishes to earn a stab at the top level this season and top 20 finishes at the Australian Open, Mauritius Open, Qatar Masters, Turkish Open and Austrian Open were impressive. He seems to have stepped up a gear from there though, recording a 10th place finish at the Italian Open on a compatible track to this week’s test before producing a personal best 7th at this level last week following an impressive 28th place effort on his Major debut at Royal Portrush.

In truth neither he nor anyone was catching Grant Forrest last week in Aberdeen, so the fact that he trod water on Sunday is of no real concern; on the contrary, 6th for both SG Approach and SG Tee to Green were impressive figures ahead of this week’s trip to Denmark where he’s performed well in the past.

Having turned professional at the start of the 2016 after winning his maiden Nordic Golf League event as an amateur, Lindell’s two wins in that following season were both in Denmark and his most recent trip to the region at last year’s Danish Golf Challenge on the 2nd tier saw him finish runner-up courtesy of a blistering final round of 62. RESULT: T8

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Adrian Otaegui 1pt EW 180/1 (8EW, 1/5) with bet365

After a torrid three months that contained seven consecutive missed cuts, it was interesting to see Adrian Otaegui show some progress last week and at least bank a cheque.

Having finished 26th at the China Open and then 11th at the Hainan Classic, it looked like the Spanish-born golfer, who now represents the UAE, would push on and challenge for a sixth title at DP World Tour level. May, June and July didn’t produce a single paid weekend though so it was interesting to see the 32 year-old open with a round of 69 last week at Trump International to sit 5th after day 1, then close with a solid round of 70, which again was beaten by just 4 players on the day. The less said about Friday and Saturday the better, however positive signs nonetheless.

Averaging a little over 285 yards from off the tee, Otaegui is generally more proficient on shorter courses that require a little more precision than brute power, highlighted by his 6-stroke victory at Valderrama back in 2022. Now I’m not suggesting for one moment that this week’s test is anything like as claustrophobic as that Spanish masterpiece of a track, however at a winning total of 19-under that week it was an uncharacteristically ‘easy’ renewal and that may be a good pointer for this week.

Typically one of the straightest hitters from off the tee, Adrian ranked 6th for GIR last week in Aberdeen despite ending up in a tie for 56th and a similar approach this week may see him make a mockery of the odds on offer, particularly as he already has a pair of top-10 finishes to his name in this part of the world at the 2016 & 2018 Made in Denmark events. RESULT: MC

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Daan Huizing 0.5pt EW 250/1 (8EW, 1/5) with bet365

Finally, having caught the eye for the first three rounds last week, I’ll take a small, speculative punt on Daan Huizing to build on that effort on Danish soil where he’s shown some promise in the past.

Three times a winner on the Challenge Tour over the years, he’s struggled to make the same inroads when it’s come to stepping up a level, however 3rd at the 2022 Cazoo Classic and 10th at the 2023 Alfred Dunhill Links suggests that he’s capable of competing at this level on occasion, as was evident with the Dutchman sitting in 2nd place heading into Sunday last week in Scotland before fall to a tie for 19th.

Another relatively short hitter who occupied a similar area on the Driving Distance stats to the aforementioned Adrian Otaegui last season, after a poor 2024 which saw him lose his DP World Tour card, these opportunities to play at the upper level and work towards regaining his full playing rights have to be taken seriously.

The putter was the real star of the show for the 34 year-old last week as he led the field for Stroke Gained Putting, and the slightly more forgiving nature of this course for errant drives and approaches might help give Daan a few more opportunities this week.

4th and 3rd at the 2018 and 2019 Made in Denmark Challenge, Huizing’s last two efforts on Danish soil in this event under its Made in Himmerland guise have both resulted in top-10 finishes, and he clearly feels comfortable in this part of the world. RESULT: MC

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Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 15:55BST 11.8.25 but are naturally subject to fluctuation.