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Steve Bamford's Pebble Beach Analysis, 2019 US Open

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Pebble Beach Average Scores By 2019 U.S. Open Competitor

The 2019 U.S. Open takes place at world-renowned Pebble Beach Golf Links between Thursday 13th June and Sunday 16th June 2019.

Naturally Golf Betting System are giving the 3rd Major of 2019 the full treatment and if you’re looking for a detailed preview document which includes course information, winning trends and key statistics look no further – Steve Bamford’s full 2019 U.S. Open Preview is available via this link.

Steve’s full Betting Preview including final tips will be available from Monday 10th June.

During our research it became clear that course experience at Pebble Beach played a key role for much of the success at the 2010 U.S. Open, eventually won by Northern Ireland’s Graeme McDowell. Yes, Frenchman Gregory Havret finished runner-up to McDowell on his course debut, and the same can be said for Martin Kaymer who finished T8, again on his first visit to Carmel Bay, California. But they were undoubtedly the outliers.

In all, 9 of 11 players finishing in the top 10 of that U.S. Open had finished in the top 10 previously at Pebble. 8 of those did it in the Pebble Beach National Pro-Am – the PGA Tour event played every February – and the ninth, Ernie Els, who finished in 3rd, had finished 2nd on his only appearance previously at Pebble, notably the 2000 U.S. Open.

For those of you wanting a full rundown of the whole 2019 U.S. Open field from a Pebble Beach experience perspective, then our course form analysis tracker has all the information you’ll need.

However, because it’s the U.S. Open we’ve taken things a stage further. The AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am is played over 3 separate courses, with Pebble Beach unsurprisingly being the host course. So all competitors play the course once before the 54 hole cut is made. Naturally players who make the cut play their final Sunday round on the host course, ensuring 2 rounds around the iconic coastal classic.

Below we’ve stripped out all rounds across Pebble Beach Golf Links for the 2011 through 2019 renewals of the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. This provides a pure Pebble Beach scoring average across the whole 2019 U.S. Open field.

It’s worth noting that:

  1. This only covers the 9 Pebble Beach Pro-Am tournaments played between 2011 and 2019. No other professional or amateur tournaments are included.
  2. There’s no minimum round requirement.
  3. Scoring average takes into account no local conditions or weather conditions.

Pebble Beach Top 10 Scoring Average 2011-2019

The table below includes the player’s average score made on Pebble Beach and includes the overall position(s) they finished in AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Ams across the last 9 renewals – post 2010 U.S. Open. Scores are based upon the National Pro-Am Par 72 format:

Events  Pebble Av 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Gary Woodland 4         68.00 MC 5 MC
Daniel Berger 1         68.50 10
Xander Schauffele 1         69.00 66
Branden Grace 2         69.25 20 28
Paul Casey 3         69.25 8 2
Brandt Snedeker 12         69.31 MC 1 MC 1 35 4 20 MC
Aaron Wise 1         69.50 15
Brooks Koepka 1         69.50 8
Jon Rahm 2         69.50 5 26
Jimmy Walker 12         69.53 9 9 3 1 21 11 55 8 MC

 

Gary Woodland tops the charts with an overall 68 scoring average played across 4 rounds at Pebble Beach. Rounds of 67-65-67-73 across 3 visits to Pebble Beach make up this total. Of players who regularly play the Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, both Brandt Snedeker and Jimmy Walker are standout in terms of their performance. Scoring averages of 69.31 and 69.53 respectively put them in 6th and 10th place in our analysis. That’s an amazingly strong effort across 13 (Snedeker) and 17 (Walker) rounds respectively.

Indeed if we take 8 competitive rounds as a minimum requirement then here are the top scoring averages:

  1. Brandt Snedeker 69.31
  2. Jimmy Walker 69.53
  3. Dustin Johnson 69.59
  4. Sam Saunders 70.08
  5. Brian Stuard 70.11
  6. Phil Mickelson 70.25
  7. Jordan Spieth 70.29
  8. Jason Day 70.38
  9. Patrick Reed 70.38
  10. J.B. Holmes 70.40

Full results for everybody in the U.S. Open field as per Thursday 6th June 2019 are available below:

Events  Pebble Av 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Gary Woodland 4         68.00 MC 5 MC
Daniel Berger 1         68.50 10
Xander Schauffele 1         69.00 66
Branden Grace 2         69.25 20 28
Paul Casey 3         69.25 8 2
Brandt Snedeker 12         69.31 MC 1 MC 1 35 4 20 MC
Aaron Wise 1         69.50 15
Brooks Koepka 1         69.50 8
Jon Rahm 2         69.50 5 26
Jimmy Walker 12         69.53 9 9 3 1 21 11 55 8 MC
Dustin Johnson 12         69.59 55 5 MC 2 4 41 3 2 45
Nate Lashley 2         69.67 MC 45
Graeme McDowell 6         69.80 7 MC 18
C.T. Pan 1         70.00 MC
Webb Simpson 4         70.00 26 MC
Sam Saunders 9         70.08 15 69 50 MC MC MC 26 38
Brian Stuard 7         70.11 30 21 MC MC MC 45
Rob Oppenheim 3         70.20 70 8 47
Phil Mickelson 17         70.25 9 1 60 19 2 65 2 1
Tony Finau 2         70.25 23 38
Jordan Spieth 7         70.29 22 4 7 21 1 20 45
Jason Day 10         70.38 6 64 4 11 5 2 4
Patrick Reed 7         70.38 7 13 29 6 23 MC 22
J.B. Holmes 13         70.40 13 MC 50 61 10 11 23 MC MC
Adam Scott 3         70.50 MC 61
Justin Rose 2         70.50 6 39
Luke Guthrie 2         70.50 26 35
Marc Leishman 3         70.50 21
Alex Prugh 6         70.63 21 MC 10 MC 53
Roberto Castro 7         70.82 50 MC 19 MC 8 MC 53
Chez Reavie 10         70.83 MC MC 62 MC 26 MC 2 38
Patrick Cantlay 3         70.83 9 48 35
SiWoo Kim 4         70.83 MC 35 MC 4
Brett Drewitt 1         71.00 33
Jim Furyk 15         71.00 MC 40 30 34 7 66 14
Joseph Bramlett 2         71.00 MC 40
Matthew Fitzpatrick 1         71.00 MC
Richard H. Lee 4         71.00 15 12 10 MC
Tiger Woods 2         71.00 15
Tommy Fleetwood 1         71.00 45
Nick Taylor 5         71.13 MC 30 10 MC 28
Lucas Glover 6         71.20 MC 11 7
Ernie Els 3         71.25 MC MC 28
Julian Etulain 2         71.25 33 38
Kevin Na 11         71.27 MC 5 22 4 MC MC 20
Aaron Baddeley 11         71.33 6 4 12 56 54 51 55 MC
Cameron Smith 3         71.50 MC 11 MC
Brendon Todd 8         71.70 9 MC 45 10 MC MC MC
Scott Piercy 6         71.86 MC 55 20 10
Matt Jones 12         71.88 15 MC 30 45 7 11 23 MC 53
Brian Davis 13         71.89 MC 29 MC 13 MC MC MC
Shane Lowry 5         71.89 21 41 14 43 MC
Jason Dufner 6         72.00 MC 51
Kevin Kisner 7         72.00 39 MC 64 MC 10 MC 28
Kyle Stanley 5         72.00 48 61 MC 41
Kyounghoon Lee 1         72.00 MC
Luke Donald 9         72.00 26 23 MC
Rory McIlroy 1         72.00 MC
Zach Johnson 2         72.00 29
Tom Hoge 5         72.14 MC 41 39 MC MC
Chesson Hadley 5         72.25 10 10 MC 35 MC
Bryson DeChambeau 2         72.33 MC 55
Bubba Watson 4         72.33 70 35
Keith Mitchell 2         72.33 47 MC
Billy Hurley III 6         72.38 MC MC 45 51 MC MC
Matt Kuchar 12         72.40 MC 62 22
Billy Horschel 6         72.43 MC 69 28 45 MC
David Toms 4         72.50 MC MC
Zac Blair 4         72.50 MC 60 48 MC
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 4         72.67 MC 64 26 22
Andrew Putnam 3         72.75 MC MC 38
Keegan Bradley 1         73.00 15
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 1         73.00 64
Sung Kang 5         73.13 63 WD 17 MC 14
Ian Poulter 3         73.25 50 MC MC
Mike Weir 17         73.33 MC MC 50 MC MC MC MC MC
Rory Sabbatini 16         73.58 15 MC MC 64 MC MC 48 72 MC
Jhonattan Vegas 1         75.00 MC
Justin Thomas 1         75.00 MC
Abraham Ancer 1         76.00 MC
Rickie Fowler 2         76.00 MC
Sepp Straka 1         77.00 MC
Luke List 2         78.00 MC MC