Steve Bamford

Steve Bamford's RBC Canadian Open Tips 2019

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It was great to get another win on the board at the Memorial Tournament last week with Patrick Cantlay claiming the title for us at 18/1. He looked imperious closing with an amazing -8/64 which was the best closing round by a winner since Jack Nicklaus established the tournament way back in 1976. Personally I seem to have a handle on Muirfield Village as that was my third win at The Memorial Tournament following on from Tiger Woods (2012 – 16/1) and Bryson DeChambeau (2018 – 50/1). European Tour tipster Paul Williams also delivered last week at the Belgian Knockout, capturing the 36-hole stroke play winner Chris Paisley at 40/1.

The week before the U.S. Open is always a fascinating scenario on the PGA Tour and in 2019 we see the RBC Canadian Open taking over from the FedEx St Jude Classic, which has now become a World Golf Championship event and will be played the week after the Open Championship. This week the field includes Brooks Koepka (OWGR No. 1), Dustin Johnson (OWGR No.2), Rory McIlroy (No.4), Justin Thomas (No.6), Matt Kuchar (No.13), Bubba Watson (No.19) and Webb Simpson (No.20).

Before we talk the RBC Canadian Open, the number of new visitors to Golf Betting System is increasing by the week. Welcome to new visitors, listeners and viewers and let me point you in the direction of our weekly Golf Betting System podcast  and our hugely popular private group on Facebook – you can Join Here.

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Course Guide: We’ve got used to the RBC Canadian Open being played at Glen Abbey, but 2019 sees Golf Canada take their national title to Ancaster near Toronto to play the classical and sub-7,000 yard Par-70 at Hamilton Golf & Country Club. This will be the sixth time that Hamilton has hosted the Canadian Open, with Bob Tway (2003), Jim Furyk (2006) and Scott Piercy (2012) winning here in the recent past. At just around 7,000 yards in length, you won’t find a shorter course on the PGA Tour this season, but Hamilton has severely tiered green complexes which offer up some stern defence.

Hamilton G&CC, Hamilton, Ontario: Designer: Harry Colt 1914; Course Type: Classical, Mid-Score Scoring; Par: 70; Length: 6,967 yards; Holes with Water Hazards: 11; Fairways: Bentgrass with Poa Annua; Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass with ryegrass/fescue 4″; Greens: 5,000 sq.ft average featuring Bentgrass with Poa Annua; Tournament Stimp: 10.5ft; Course Scoring Average 2012: 69.59 (-0.41), Difficulty Rank 32 of 49 courses.

Widths (yards): Below are the fairway widths for Hamilton G&CC and how they compare to recent courses on Tour:

  • Hamilton: 250 yards from the tee: 29 yards wide; 275:29; 300:29; 325:27; 350:28.
  • Muirfield Village: 250 yards from the tee: 36 yards wide; 275:35; 300:30; 325:26; 350:30.
  • Colonial: 250 yards from tee: 27 yards wide; 275:25; 300:26; 325:25; 350:22.
  • Trinity Forest: 250 yards from tee: 58 yards wide; 275:54; 300:56; 325:60; 350:57.
  • Quail Hollow: 250 yards from tee: 33 yards wide; 275:32; 300:31; 325:30; 350:29.
  • Harbour Town: 250 yards from tee: 31 yards wide; 275:25; 300:20; 325:26; 350:22.
  • Oaks Course: 250 yards from tee: 33 yards wide; 275:34; 300:29; 325:27; 350:26.
  • Copperhead: 250 yards from the tee: 24 yards wide; 275:20; 300:21; 325:23 350:19.
  • TPC Sawgrass: 250 yards from the tee: 31 yards wide; 275:33; 300:32; 325:29 350:20.
  • Bay Hill: 250 yards from the tee: 33 yards wide; 275:34; 300:34; 325:39 350:29.

Course Overview: Hamilton G&CC hosted this tournament in 2012. Back then, the course played soft, with preferred lies in play across the opening 36 holes before the course quickened up. With little wind to defend the course and receptive greens over the opening 36 holes, the course was very gettable and at the close ranked within the bottom 20 on the PGA Tour for difficulty. Scott Piercy won at -17/263 with 14 players breaking double-digits under par.

An original Harry Colt design, Piercy described this course as an old-style test, where position both from off the tee and into the greens is key. With severe sloping greens in places, Piercy also highlighted that distance control was required, to ensure hitting first parts of green complexes. Anything long tends to be a bad miss, so playing strategic, below the hole golf pays dividends here.

From a course perspective, Hamilton has a brutal set of par-3s which played as the 4th toughest on Tour in 2012. 3 of 4 par-3s, namely the 6th, 8th and 13th, play at 224 yards, 210 yards and 217 yards respectively. From there though 11 of the 12 par-4s play at sub 450 yards, making this a less-than-driver golf course. Risk and reward also enters the frame across a driveable par-4 at the 5th and across the 2 par-5s which only measure 542 yards and 550 yards.

The course though will look significantly different to the one we saw in 2012. 2014 saw nearly 1000 mature trees removed in a bid to direct the course back to the way it was from a visual perspective back when the Colt design was opened.

In the last 2 champions here, Jim Furyk and Scott Piercy, you have pretty varying player types. Furyk is a fairways and greens man who is one of the shortest hitters on Tour. Piercy, on the other hand, is a +310 yard driver who can be the streakiest of scorers on receptive golf courses. What is linkable though is that both ranked in the top 17 in the All-Round category in the season they captured the title at Hamilton. It’s just that kind of course.

Winners: 2018: Dustin Johnson (-23); 2017: Jhonattan Vegas (-21); 2016: Jhonattan Vegas (-12); 2015: Jason Day (-17); 2014: Tim Clark (-17); 2013: Brandt Snedeker (-16); 2012: Scott Piercy (-17); 2011: Sean O’Hair (-4); 2010: Carl Pettersson (-14).

Tournament Stats: We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s event that are well worth a look. Naturally they’ll help to shape a view on players who could go well this week: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader | Top 20 Finishes | Combined Stats.

Published Predictor Model: Our published predictor is available here. You can build your own model using the variables listed on the left hand side. Top 10 of my published predictor are Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Scott Piercy, Matt Kuchar, Webb Simpson, Jim Furyk, Ryan Palmer and Jason Dufner.

Recent Player Skill Rankings: These rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the Valero Texas Open, which includes PGA Tour and European Tour events. Players must have played in a minimum of 2 Tour events to be included and rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:

  • Driving Accuracy: 1) Ryan Armour; 2) Jonas Blixt / Webb Simpson; 4) Jason Dufner / Kramer Hickok; 6) Bronson Burgoon; 7) Matt Kuchar; 8) Scott Brown / Brice Garnett; 10) Henrik Stenson; 11) J.J. Henry; 12) Roberto Castro; 13) Scott Langley; 14) Brandt Snedeker; 15) Talor Gooch; 16) Austin Cook / Tyler Duncan / Jim Herman; 19) Chad Collins; 20) Jim Furyk / Zach Johnson / Rod Pampling.
  • Greens in Regulation: 1) Brooks Koepka; 2) Bubba Watson; 3) Dustin Johnson; 4) Scott Piercy; 5) Jason Dufner; 6) Aaron Wise; 7) Corey Conners / Shawn Stefani; 9) Henrik Stenson; 10) John Chin; 11) Chad Collins / Keegan Bradley / Matt Kuchar; 14) Sepp Straka; 15) Rory McIlroy; 16) Webb Simpson / Kevin Tway; 18) Jim Furyk / Rod Pampling; 20) Shane Lowry / Alex Prugh / Zack Sucher.
  • Putting Average (Putts per GIR): 1) Dustin Johnson; 2) Johnson Wagner; 3) Sebastian Munoz; 4) Brooks Koepka / David Lingmerth; 6) Ollie Schniederjans; 7) Peter Malnati; 8) Scott Piercy; 9) David Hearn / Denny McCarthy; 11) Brandt Snedeker; 12) Roberto Diaz / Alex Noren; 14) Webb Simpson / Erik van Rooyen; 16) Wyndham Clark / Shawn Stefani; 18) Luke Donald; 19) Brandon Hagy; 20) Austin Cook.

Winners & Prices: 2018: Johnson 7/1F; 2017: Vegas 125/1; 2016: Vegas 125/1; 2015: Day 9/1F; 2014: Clark 66/1; 2013: Snedeker 14/1; 2012: Piercy 50/1; 2011: Sean O’Hair 100/1; 2010: Pettersson 80/1. Past 5 Renewals Average: 66/1; Overall Average: 64/1.

Historical Weather:

  • 2012: Thursday: Due to threat of heavy rain, players were allowed preferred lies for the first two rounds. Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with an afternoon high in the mid-80s. Winds SSW at 8-12 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny, with an afternoon high in the mid-80s. Winds SW 8-14 mph. Saturday: Mostly sunny, with an afternoon high of 86. Winds SSW at 8-12 mph. Sunday: Sunny, with an afternoon high of 83. Winds SW at 4-8 mph

Weather Forecast: The latest weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario, is here. 40mm of rain across the past 9 days, allied to 113mm in total across May, is likely to make Hamilton G&CC a lush test this week. Rhod Trainor, the Course Superintendent, has mentioned that the green complexes here are old and out of date from a draining perspective, so with more rain forecast for tournament Tuesday I can see the greens being receptive enough. That may also lead to some nice juicy rough, but with nigh-on perfect conditions across Thursday and Friday, scoring should be very low. From there moderate breezes are likely to be in-play across the weekend, but on a sub 7,000 yard golf course, I think scoring will be low.

Tournament Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the final stats of the 2 winners here at Hamilton G&CC since 2006 gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this:

  • 2012, Scott Piercy (-17). 311 yards (9th), 62.5% fairways (31st), 66.7% greens in regulation (53rd), 32’3″ proximity to hole (12th), 70.8% scrambling (13th), 1.69 putts per GIR (9th).
  • 2006, Jim Furyk (-13). 283 yards (47th), 78.6% fairways (4th), 66.7% greens in regulation (34th), 38’3″ proximity to hole (56th), 70.8 % scrambling (8th), 1.60 putts per GIR (1st).

Tournament Skill Average:

  • Driving Distance: 28th, Driving Accuracy: 18th, Greens in Regulation: 44th, Proximity to Hole: 34th, Scrambling: 11th, Putting Average 5th.

Strokes Gained Tournament Trends – 2012 RBC Canadian Open:

  • 1st, Scott Piercy (-17). SG Off the Tee: 11th, SG Approach: 33rd, SG Around the Green: 4th, SG Tee to Green: 9th, SG Putting: 4th.
  • 2nd, Robert Garrigus (-16). SG Off the Tee: 1st, SG Approach: 4th, SG Around the Green: 7th, SG Tee to Green: 1st, SG Putting: 72nd.
  • 2nd, William McGirt (-16). SG Off the Tee: 25th, SG Approach: 23rd, SG Around the Green: 38th, SG Tee to Green: 17th, SG Putting: 1st.

Strokes Gained Tournament Skill Averages:

  • SG Off the Tee: 13th, SG Approach: 20th, SG Around the Green: 16th, SG Tee to Green: 9th, SG Putting: 26th.

Let’s take a view from players as to how Hamilton G&CC sets up and what skill sets the course favours:

Scott Piercy (2012): “Like I said, I hit it in the rough on one hole and I advanced to 20 yards.  Yeah, on 13.  I had it just short right of that bunker and I almost hit it in the bunker.  And I made bogey.  It settled to the bottom.  It’s long and settled down.  So the rough is really penal. As far as the pins go, there was a couple that seemed a little dicey.  No. 2, that pin was kind of like a mound.  I hit it just long left of it.  I’m like, I want to keep it on the green.  There’s a couple that look pretty crazy. You know, it’s offensive if you’re in the fairway right now definitely.  The golf course doesn’t play very long.  But if you’re not in the fairway, you know, it’s going to fight you a little bit.  So the greens are receptive.  You can spin back wedges.  You can play in with a 9iron, you can pull back a few tees.

I will tell you this golf course for me takes the juices out of it for me, because it’s not an exciting golf course where you generally go hit driver.  It’s a lot of position off the tee, and it’s a lot of position into the green.  You want to be just to that first part of the green in the middle of the green, and putting into the corners. For me, I like to be aggressive and shoot at things, but that’s really boring for me.  So I would say it’s the opposite, in my mind, anyway, you know, like the Phoenix Open.  You’re going out for birdies and everybody knows it.  Here it’s more playing for pars and hoping that the birdies fall.  Does that make sense? So because the greens are so severe in spots, you want to be below the hole, putting up into them.  So if you’re below the hole, generally anything below the hole, you’re not going to mess up the hole.  Even if you’re short of the green you’re usually putting up to the hole.  So it’s a lot of position off the tee to hit the fairways, so you have a chance to be as aggressive as you can be.  Then you still got to play position to the green, pins back.  You have to play short, stuff like that.

Robert Garrigus (2012): “My caddie Brent Henley and I had a game plan starting the week.  We weren’t going to pound driver all day, but the holes we could take advantage of it, we’re going to hit it.  We could hit it 6 times a day which is more than I thought I was going to.  I’ve hit a couple of 5woods and 3irons.  My 3iron has been very key except for one shot on 10 I kind of fluffed it.

But it’s been a lot of fun this week.  Plus I’m hitting my irons so well, and I’m putting okay.  I mean, my caddie keeps telling me if you keep hitting close, you’re going to miss a couple.  So don’t get frustrated.  He’s been good about keeping me calm about that, because I missed some short putts.  So now I’m looking forward to this weekend.

William McGirt (2016): “Well, the greens definitely firmed up today.  You didn’t really see anybody ripping wedges back off greens today.  So you’re starting to get a decent first bounce on some holes. There were a couple of times where we were playing for a softer bounce, kind of flying it to the number.  And watched it release.  My 4iron on 6 released probably 20 or 25 feet.  It hit just short of hole high and almost released through.  So yesterday that ball would have probably released maybe five, six feet.

I love old traditional style golf courses, and this is definitely old.  Donald Ross is my favourite architect, and this has a lot of Ross characteristics to it.

Path to Victory: Below are the end of round positions for the winners here at Hamilton G&CC:

  • 2012 – Scott Piercy: Round 1: 1st, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 3rd.
  • 2006 – Jim Furyk: Round 1: 1st, Round 2: 5th, Round 3: 6th.

Path to Victory: Below are the end of round positions for the winners here at Hamilton G&CC:

  • 2012 – Scott Piercy: Round 1: 1 ahead, Round 2: level, Round 3: 2 back.
  • 2006 – Jim Furyk: Round 1: level, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: 2 back.

Incoming form of winners since 2010:

  • Dustin Johnson: MC Open/3rd US Open/1st St Jude/8th Memorial.
  • Jhonattan Vegas: MC Open/MC National/MC Travelers/MC US Open.
  • Jhonattan Vegas: 4th Barbasol/53rd Barracuda/44th Congressional/MC Memorial.
  • Jason Day: 4th Open/9th US Open/MC Memorial/MC TPC Sawgrass.
  • Tim Clark: 5th JDC/MC Greenbrier/MC Travelers/19th St Jude.
  • Brandt Snedeker: 11th Open/8th AT&T National/17th US Open/MC St Jude.
  • Scott Piercy: 3rd JDC/12th Greenbrier/ MC US Open/MC Memorial.
  • Sean O’Hair: MC Open/MC AT&T National/63rd Travelers/MC Memorial.
  • Carl Pettersson: MC JDC/6th AT&T National/34th Travelers/28th Memorial.

First Round Leader Analysis: First round leader(s), their wave and winning score here at Hamilton G&CC since 2006. Full First Round Leader stats are here.

  • 2012 – Piercy – PM -8/62.
  • 2006 – Furyk / Rose – AM/PM Split -7/63.

For the record, here’s the breakdown of pure Poa Annua and Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix PGA Tour victors in the field since 2008:

  • 10 – Dustin Johnson.
  • 6 – Bubba Watson.
  • 4 – Brandt Snedeker.
  • 3 – Rory McIlroy, Jimmy Walker.
  • 2 – J.J. Henry, Brooks Koepka, Scott Piercy, Nick Watney.
  • 1 – Sang-moon Bae, Jonas Blixt, Keegan Bradley, Jason Dufner, Bill Haas, Padraig Harrington, J.B. Holmes, Matt Kuchar, Shane Lowry, Graeme McDowell, Scott Stallings, Henrik Stenson, Chris Stroud, Justin Thomas, Kevin Tway, Gary Woodland.

Of course we enter a new world this week on the PGA Tour, with the RBC Canadian Open moving from post-Open Championship in July to pre-U.S. Open in early June. Golf Canada seem happy with the change, with courses set to be in better condition. We must also remember that this week can be a nightmare for tipsters, punters and layers alike with U.S. Open Sectional Qualifying taking place on Monday around 9 locations in United States. Naturally players having to expend their efforts in those will not be touching down in Toronto until Monday evening at the very earliest and we should expect plenty of WDs in the direct build-up to the tournament through Monday and into Tuesday.

Traditionally, the mix of winners across the tournament before the U.S. Open is a little confusing. Up until this new PGA Tour schedule, this week always saw the annual trip to TPC Southwind in Memphis for the FedEx St Jude Classic. Memphis has produced 4 maiden PGA Tour victors in the past 9 renewals since 2010. That could be something worth bearing in mind. One of those was Daniel Berger who won at TPC Southwind at 33/1 (2016) and 28/1 (2017). For both of his wins the Floridian was ranked within the OWGR top 50.

Indeed high-class winners who had already qualified for the U.S. Open have won the week before in 2008, 2010 (12/1), 2012 (20/1), 2016 (33/1), 2017 (28/1) and 2018 (7/1F) – namely Justin Leonard, Lee Westwood, Daniel Berger (twice) and Dustin Johnson (twice). They undoubtedly took the opportunity to land a PGA Tour with no hesitation. So that’s an elite winner percentage of 55% across the last 11 renewals.

Hamilton was last played in 2012 where Scott Piercy beat Robert Garrigus and William McGirt by a single shot. 2006 saw Jim Furyk ease his way to victory beating Bart Bryant and Sean O’Hair (the defending champion) in the process.

The course is a classical Par-70 where relatively narrow fairways and relatively long rough will mean that finding the short stuff will be an advantage building block for success this week, however every single player in the top 9 in 2012 also ranked in the top 25 for Driving Distance.

My selections are as follows:

Dustin Johnson 4pts Win 6/1 with bet365

All roads tend to lead to Dustin Johnson for me here and despite my dislike of going for short-priced win-only bets, I’m taking the World Number 2 this week. 10 of his 20 wins have come on greens which feature Poa Annua so that’s a super start. His last 4 wins on the PGA Tour have come at 15/2 (Kapalua 2018), 7/1 (Southwind 2018), 7/1 (Glen Abbey 2018) and 10/1 (Mexico 2019), so he undoubtedly converts in non-Majors at short odds. 4 of his career wins have also come either side of a Major Championship – namely at TPC Southwind in 2012 and 2018, at Firestone South in 2016, plus when winning this title at Glen Abbey last July. His thoughts won’t be wondering to Pebble Beach just yet, where I expect the other market leader Brooks Koepka to be honing his game for next week.

The other thing with DJ right now is that he just keeps on contending. After his last victory in Mexico in late February, he was 5th at TPC Sawgrass, where he was right in the hunt going into the back nine. 2nd at Copperhead after 54 holes, he eventually finished 6th on a course where previously he had 2 MCs from 2 appearances to his name. He then moved onto Augusta National where he came within a missed putt on 18 of a play-off with Tiger Woods. As a Team RBC member he now has to play Harbour Town – and despite his complete unsuitability for that course he was the 54 hole leader. Last time out at Bethpage Black, Johnson’s Sunday charge put Brooks Koepka under the ultimate amount of pressure he has ever faced in a Major Championship – and to Dustin’s credit his 69-67-69-69 scoring performance saw him finish in the top 10 for scoring across all 4 days at the PGA Championship. Mighty impressive that, plus he was 6th for Greens in Regulation, 8th for Proximity to Hole, 3rd for SG Tee to Green, 7th for Ball Striking and 2nd for All Round. Tops my 8-week Putting Average tracker as well. Result: T20

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Shane Lowry 1.25pt EW 40/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Paddy Power

Upwardly mobile again in the OWGR and back into the elite top 50, I’m thinking that Shane Lowry should get on very well with the test this week at Hamilton G&CC. A Harry Colt original, Lowry has always performed very well on another Colt original in the form of Wentworth’s West Course. 4th in 2011, 12th in 2013, 2nd in 2014, 6th in 2015, 6th in 2017 and 15th there last year, Shane also has an Open Championship top 10 (2014) at another Colt design in Hoylake to his name.

Lowry must also be brimming full of confidence as he arrives in Canada. The winner in Abu Dhabi in January on the European Tour, Lowry seems to have sorted out his United States form as well, finishing 3rd at the RBC Heritage and 8th at the PGA Championship across his last 2 individual starts. Excellent driving is the base for this success and the Irishman has also ranked 8th and 15th for SG Tee to Green across both Harbour Town and Bethpage Black. A comfortable putter on Poa Annua putting surfaces, it’s worth remembering that he won the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational on Bentgrass/Poa Annua greens and was also 2nd at the 2016 U.S. Open played at Oakmont. That particular tournament was won by Dustin Johnson, with both Jim Furyk, Scott Piercy and Shane featuring in a tie for runner-up position. Result: T2

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Jason Dufner – WD Pre-Event

Jason Dufner may just have some unfinished business in Canada to attend to this week. 10 years ago he played the 2009 RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey and an opening round -4/68 was followed by an incredible -9/63 to give him a 1-shot lead over Jerry Kelly. Back in 2009 though Dufner was a maiden on the PGA Tour and on Sunday the pressure told as Nathan Green took the title from Retief Goosen. Unbelievably Dufner has never returned to play in Canada.

It took until 2012 for Jason to take his first title – we were on board at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans at 28/1 – and since then Jason has of course captured the 2013 PGA Championship hosted at Oak Hill, as well as winning at TPC Four Seasons (2012), PGA West (2016) and Muirfield Village (2017). Happy enough on Poa Annua-based putting surfaces, Dufner of late is definitely percolating in terms of his game. 12 missed cuts this season, 8 of which were consecutive, ended at Harbour Town where he finished 63rd. Early May then saw him lead after 36 holes at the classical Quail Hollow, ultimately finishing 4th, which was his best single finish on the PGA Tour since his 2017 Memorial Tournament victory. 5th at Colonial after 36 holes 2 weeks ago again highlighted an up turn in fortunes (he finished 40th), before this weekend shooting -4/68 and -3/69 to finish 7th at Jack’s Tournament. And that could have been so much better after starting both Saturday’s round and closing Sunday’s round with double bogey.

Yes, Jason comes to the fore on old-style golf courses and last week in Ohio the 42 year-old was 2nd for Driving Accuracy, 4th for Greens in Regulation, 6th for SG on Approach, 6th for SG Tee to Green, 4th for Ball Striking and 3rd for All Round. Suggests to me that he is more than ready to contend this week on a Hamilton G&CC course I think will suit him down to the ground.

Jonas Blixt 1pt EW 100/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Paddy Power

Jonas Blixt is another to follow this week. 12 pay-cheques this season has been a far more consistent haul for the Jacksonville Beach, Florida resident. 15th at Riviera (Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix greens), 20th at Trinity Forest and 5th at Colonial have been his best finishes across his last 12 appearances and it was great to see Jonas back in the limelight in Fort Worth.

A couple of things I’ve always noted about Blixt are his ability to string results together when he has confidence in his tee-to-green game and secondly his ability on greens which include Poa Annua – that’s a trait many in the field do not have. Blixt’s first of 3 PGA Tour victories came at CordeValle (Bentgrass/Poa Annua) in 2012 and since then he’s finished 6th at Torrey Pines and 3rd at Pebble Beach both in 2016.

His liking for old-style, classical courses is also something which jumps out from the likes of Torrey, Pebble and Riviera. That classical golf course line of enquiry can also be added to with 10th at Colonial (2010), 1st at Old White TPC (2013), 4th at the Oak Hill hosted PGA Championship (2013), 2nd at Augusta National (2014) and 6th last time out at Colonial. His last performance in Texas is also noteworthy for how well rounded it was – 5th for Total Driving, 14th for Greens in Regulation, 8th for SG on Approach, 4th for SG Tee to Green, 5th for Ball Striking, 5th for Scrambling and 1st for All Round. I think Hamilton G&CC is a great fit for the Swede who’s up over 200 places in the OWGR and he could give us a run at a value price. Result: T44

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Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 06:45BST 4.6.19 but naturally subject to fluctuation.