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Low scoring is the key this week as the PGA Tour reaches California for The American Express at PGA West. It was latterly known as the Desert Classic or CareerBuilder Challenge, but I’ll always remember this as the Bob Hope Classic. It used to be played over 4 courses and 5 days as a Pro-Am, but 2026 sees a 156-man, 3 course rota, Pro-Am format. Course-wise we have host course PGA West Stadium, the PGA West Nicklaus Tournament Course and La Quinta Country Club. Low scoring will be the order of the day and we could well see something around the late 20s under par being needed to grab the boosted $1,656,000 first prize and a coveted Masters invite for those who haven’t already received a letter through the post recently.
Scottie Scheffler, Russell Henley, Robert MacIntyre, Ben Griffin, Justin Rose, Harris English, Sepp Straka (defending), Alex Noren, Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick, Sam Burns and Patrick Cantlay, play from inside the OWGR top 25 in the Californian desert this week, in what is undoubtedly the strongest field we have seen here for a long while – potentially ever.
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Course Guide: A 3-course rotation always makes this a unique proposition on the PGA Tour, especially with the Pro-Am format. The PGA West facility hosts 3 of the 4 rounds at the Stadium Course (Host Course) and Tournament courses. The PGA West Stadium course hosts 36 holes including the final round. A 5 mile drive is required to the third course in the tournament rotation, namely La Quinta Country Club. This tournament is the ultimate resort course challenge with 3 short Par-72 courses featuring extremely receptive and pure TifDwarf Bermudagrass overseeded with Poa Trivialis green complexes.
Pete Dye Stadium Course, PGA West, Palm Springs, California: Designer: Pete Dye, 1986; Course Type: Desert, Resort, Short; Par: 72; Length: 7,210 yards; Holes with Water In-Play: 8; Number of Bunkers: 90+; Acres of Fairway: 30; Fairways Tifgreen 328 Bermudagrass with Ryegrass; Rough: Tifgreen 328 Bermudagrass 2″; Greens: 7,000 sq.ft average featuring TifDwarf Bermudagrass with Poa Trivialis overseed; Stimpmeter: 11ft.
Course Scoring Average + PGA Tour Difficulty Rank:
2025: 71.35 (-0.65), Rank 19 of 50 courses
2024: 69.15 (-3.86), Rank 48 of 51 courses
2023: 69.20 (-2.80), Rank 47 of 49 courses
2022: 70.57 (-1.43), Rank 37 of 50 courses
2021: 70.81 (-1.19), Rank 36 of 51 courses
2020: 70.36 (-1.64), Rank 36 of 41 courses
Tournament Course, PGA West: Designer: Jack Nicklaus, 1987; Par: 72; Length: 7,147 yards; Holes with Water In-Play: 5; Number of Bunkers: 90+; Acres of Fairway: 30; Fairways Ryegrass; Rough: Tifgreen 328 Bermudagrass 2″; Greens: 5,500 sq.ft average featuring TifEagle Bermudagrass with Poa Trivialis overseed; Tournament Stimp: 10.5ft.
Course Scoring Average + PGA Tour Difficulty Rank:
2025: 68.25 (-3.75), Rank 48 of 50 courses
2024: 68.09 (-3.91), Rank 49 of 51 courses
2023: 68.73 (-3.27), Rank 48 of 49 courses
2022: 70.26 (-1.74), Rank 39 of 50 courses
2021: 70.95 (-1.05), Rank 36 of 51 courses
2020: 69.24 (-2.77), Rank 40 of 41 courses
La Quinta Country Club, La Quinta: Designer: Lawrence Hughes, with Pascuzzo re-design, 1999: Par 72; Length: 7,060 yards; Holes with Water In-Play: 7; Number of Bunkers: 82; Acres of Fairway: 28; Fairways Bermudagrass; Rough: Bermudagrass with Ryegrass overseed, 1.75″; Greens: 4,773 sq.ft TifDwarf Bermudagrass Poa Trivialis/Ryegrass overseed; Stimp: 11.5ft.
Course Scoring Average + PGA Tour Difficulty Rank:
2025: 68.60 (-3.40), Rank 47 of 50 courses
2024: 67.91 (-4.09), Rank 50 of 51 courses
2023: 69.58 (-2.46), Rank 46 of 49 courses
2022: 69.92 (-2.08), Rank 43 of 50 courses
2020: 69.18 (-2.82), Rank 41 of 41 courses
Course Designer Links: For research purposes, other Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus designs include:
Pete Dye:
Austin Country Club – WGC Dell Matchplay since 2016
Whistling Straits – 2010 and 2015 PGA Championship
Jack Nicklaus:
Annandale Golf Club – Sanderson Farms Championship through 2013
Castle Pines Golf Club – 2024 BMW Championship
Glen Abbey – RBC Canadian Open – 2008, 2013, 2015-2018
Montreux Golf & Country Club – Barracuda Championship through 2019
Muirfield Village – The Memorial Tournament
Old Greenwood GC – Barracuda Championship 2020 onwards
PGA National – The Honda Classic
PGA West – Nicklaus Private – Humana Challenge through 2015
Sherwood Country Club – Thousand Oaks – World Challenge through 2013 + 2020 ZOZO Championship
Valhalla Golf Club – 2014 PGA Championship
Fairway Widths (yards): Below are the fairway widths for the PGA West Pete Dye Stadium Course and how they compare to recent courses that we’ve seen on Tour
Pete Dye Stadium: 250 yards from the tee: 29 yards wide; 275:27; 300:26; 325:26; 350:24.
Waialae: 250 yards from the tee: 34 yards wide; 275:32; 300:34; 325:37; 350:34.
Seaside Course: 250 yards from the tee: 42 yards wide; 275:40; 300:34; 325:31; 350:23.
El Cardonal: Average 60 yards up to 70 yards wide.
Black Desert: Average 30 yards up to 70-100 yards wide.
CC of Jackson: 250 yards from the tee: 29 yards wide; 275:28; 300:29; 325:28; 350:25.
Silverado: 250 yards from the tee: 27 yards wide; 275:26; 300:26; 325:27; 350:26.
Course Overview: 2026 sees The American Express play to its standard Pro-Am format with a field of 156 professionals teamed with 156 amateurs.
The American Express sees the Pro-Am being played across the first 3 days of competition as opposed to all 72 holes. A cut is then made for the final round at the Stadium Course venue, with the top 65 players and ties playing Sunday. A 156 player field allied to the pro-am nature makes for painfully slow play which some players can’t handle.
Since 2012, in terms of the Pro-Am format (2021 saw no Pro-Am with Covid restrictions), this tournament has played a 3-course rota over 72 holes. 2016 saw the PGA West Stadium Course added to the rota as the host course (36 holes including the final round) and the Nicklaus Tournament Course was also added for the very first time. Stadium hosted a round of the Bob Hope Classic back in 1987 and has been home to the PGA Tour Q-School numerous times including 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2011 and 2012. The Nicklaus-designed Tournament Course shared hosting duties across these Q-Schools as well.
The Stadium host course is a Pete Dye design and is viewed by many as the sequel to the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass. The course features its own island 17th hole which will play as a 165 yard par-3 this week. The Stadium Course plays as a freshly extended 7,210 yard, Par 72 on the scorecard with 21 yards added via new tee box allocations at the par-3 6th (227 yards, +4 yards) and the par-3 13th (214 yards, +19 yards). It also has plenty of water in-play, plus 2025 featured larger 7,000 sq.ft. greens which were firm, lifting the scoring average significantly.
With a scoring average of 71.35 in 2025 it had a difficulty rank of 19 of 50 courses on the PGA Tour last season, in comparison to 47th for La Quinta, whilst the Nicklaus Tournament Course was the easiest course on rota ranking 48th for difficulty. So, in summary they were the 3rd (Tournament), 4th (La Quinta) and 31st (Stadium Course) most easy courses on the PGA Tour last season. You won’t be surprised to know that the Plantation Course at Kapalua was the easiest.
Statistically speaking, Stadium is an interesting course as the par-5s play relatively tough, especially compared to the par-4s which yield plenty of birdies. With so much water in-play, brute power alone doesn’t work here – instead crisp wedge play from within 125 yards is critical. Scrambling on the course is easy for these PGA Tour pros and the TifDwarf Bermudagrass overseeded with Poa Trivialis greens are pure enough that One-Putt Percentages are always in the top 6 on the PGA Tour.
This tournament is a testament to US resort-style golf – go low or go home, it’s that simple. Since 2012 when the tournament moved to a conventional 72-hole format; -24/264, -25/263, -29/259, -22/266, -25/263, -20/268, -22/266, -26/262, -26/262, -23/265, -23/265, -27/261, -29/259 and -25/263 have been the winning totals. Birdie or better conversion rates at 36% (2012), 38% (2013), an astonishing 44% (2014 by Patrick Reed), 32% (2015), 42%, 36%, 38%, 36%, 43%, 33%, 42%, 40%, 40% and 38% (2025) are naturally some of the highest we see all year.
The American Express Winners: 2025: Sepp Straka (-25); 2024: Nick Dunlap (-29); 2023: Jon Rahm (-27); 2022: Hudson Swafford (-23); 2021: Si Woo Kim (-23); 2020: Andrew Landry (-26); 2019: Adam Long (-26); 2018: Jon Rahm (-22); 2017: Hudson Swafford (-20); 2016: Jason Dufner (-25); 2015: Bill Haas (-22); 2014: Patrick Reed (-29); 2013: Brian Gay (-25); 2012: Mark Wilson (-24).
Shots From the Lead: Below are Amex winners since the tournament moved to the current PGA West Stadium host course rota, and where they were positioned in terms of shots from the lead during the tournament:
Jason Dufner: 9th Sony/1st Shark Shoot/9th RSM/40th Mayakoba.
Tournament Stats: We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s event that are well worth a look. Naturally they’ll help to shape a view on players who could go well this week: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader | Combined Stats.
My published predictor is available here. Top 10 of my published predictor are: 1) Scottie Scheffler, 2) Patrick Cantlay; 3) Sepp Straka; 4) Ben Griffin; 5) Matt Fitzpatrick; 6) Si Woo Kim; 7) Russell Henley; 8) Akshay Bhatia 9) Nick Taylor; 10) Pierceson Coody.
Our brand new predictor model is running alongside, where you can build your own rankings in live time, using the variables listed on the left hand side.
The American Express Winning Prices: 2025: Straka 66/1; 2024: Dunlap 350/1; 2023: Rahm 13/2F; 2022: Swafford 175/1; 2021: Si Woo Kim 66/1; 2020: Landry 200/1; 2019: Long 600/1; 2018: Rahm 10/1; 2017: Swafford 66/1; 2016: Dufner 40/1; 2015: Haas 30/1; 2014: Reed 135/1; 2013: Gay 80/1; 2012: Wilson 125/1; 2011: Vegas 200/1; 2010: Haas 100/1. Past 5 Renewals Average: 133/1 Overall Average: 141/1.
Historical Weather:
2025: Thursday: Sunny. High of 73. Wind NNW 3-6 mph. Friday: Sunny. High of 70. Wind NNW 10-15 mph. Saturday: Sunny. High of 70. Wind ESE 4-8 mph. Sunday: Sunny. High of 67. Wind E 3-8 mph.
2024: Thursday: Sunny. High of 75. Wind SE 4-8 mph. Friday: Sunny. High of 73. Wind SE 4-8 mph. Saturday: Overcast with light rain. High of 69. Wind SE 4-8 mph. Sunday: Overcast with light rain. High of 67. Wind SE 4-8 mph.
2023: Thursday: Mostly Sunny. High of 60. Wind WNW 6-12 mph. Friday: Mostly Sunny. High of 62. Wind NNW 8-15 mph. Saturday: Mostly Sunny. High of 64. Wind NW 5-10 mph. Sunday: Sunny. High of 63. Wind NW 4-8 mph.
2022: Thursday: Mostly Sunny. High of 75. Wind NNW 10-15 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny. High of 74. Wind NNW 20-25 mph. Saturday: Partly cloudy. High of 70. Wind NNW 14-18 mph, gusting to 28 mph. Sunday: Sunny. High of 76. Wind NNW 8-13 mph, gusting to 20 mph.
2021: Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a high of 75. Wind SE 5-10 mph. Friday: Mostly cloudy with a high of 67. Wind SSE 8-12 mph, gusting to 18 mph. Saturday: Mostly cloudy with occasional showers. High of 62. Wind SE 6-12 mph. Sunday: Mostly sunny. High of 64. Wind NW 7-14 mph.
2020: Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high of 68. Wind SE at 5-10 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high of 68. Wind NE 4-8 mph. Saturday: Sunny, with a high of 72. Wind E 3-6 mph. Sunday: Sunny, with a high of 77. Wind ESE 3-6 mph.
2019: Thursday: Mostly cloudy and rainy. High of 66. Wind SE 6-12 mph. Due to fog, play at La Quinta Country Club was delayed one hour (9:30 a.m. start) and delayed at the Stadium and Nicklaus Tournament Courses one hour, 15 minutes (9:45 a.m. start). Friday: Sunny. High of 74. Wind NW 6-12 mph. Saturday: Sunny. High of 75. Wind light and variable 4-8 mph. Sunday: Mostly sunny. High of 74. Wind SE 4-8 mph.
2018: Thursday: Mostly sunny. High of 78. Wind variable 4-8 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny. High of 78. Wind variable 5-10 mph. Saturday: Mostly sunny. High of 65. Wind NW 20-30 mph, with gusts to 40 mph. Sunday: Mostly sunny. High of 66. Wind variable 4-8 mph.
2017: Thursday: Overcast, with light morning rain. Mostly sunny in the afternoon, with a high of 64. Wind W 8-15 mph. Friday: Overcast, with intermittent rain throughout the day. High of 61. Wind NE to SSE 8-15 mph. Saturday: Sunny, with a high of 63. Wind NW 10-15 mph, with gusts of 25 mph. Sunday: Cloudy, with intermittent rain throughout the day. High of 61. Wind SSE 8-15 mph.
2016: Thursday: Clear skies with an afternoon high of 74 degrees. Wind SE 4-8 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high of 73 degrees. Wind SE 5-10 mph. Saturday: Partly cloudy, with a high of 71 degrees. Wind SE 5-10 mph. Sunday: Sunny, with an afternoon high of 82 degrees. Wind NW 7-15 mph.
Weather Forecast: The latest weather forecast for La Quinta, California is here.
Weather in the main looks great for The American Express. There has been no significant rain to speak of in the build-up and tournament week looks clear. Expect rolling fairways and greens which are always watered and responsive here. There is little wind in the forecast as per 12 months ago. Temperatures will also be similar to 2025, if not a tad warmer. Expect a pleasant 21 degrees Celsius – 70 Fahrenheit across the opening 54 holes, which then falls to 17 degrees Celsius – 62 Fahrenheit on Sunday.
Strokes Gained Rankings: These top 25 in the field rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the Baycurrent Classic / Open de Espana which includes both PGA Tour and DP World Tour events, where recorded. Player rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:
Top 25 SG Off The Tee: 1) Scottie Scheffler; 2) Si Woo Kim; 3) Sepp Straka; 4) Robert MacIntyre / J.T. Poston; 6) Justin Rose; 7) Harry Hall; 8) Ludvig Aberg; 9) David Ford / Patrick Rodgers; 11) Kensei Hirata / Min Woo Lee; 13) Akshay Bhatia / Gary Woodland; 15) Sam Burns / Michael Thorbjornsen; 17) Haotong Li; 18) Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 19) Keith Mitchell / Adam Scott; 21) Max Greyserman; 22) Michael Brennan; 23) Harris English; 24) Dylan Wu / Kevin Yu.
Top 25 SG Approach: 1) Sam Burns; 2) Max Greyserman; 3) Nick Dunlap / Russell Henley; 5) Sepp Straka; 6) Akshay Bhatia; 7) Scottie Scheffler / Will Zalatoris; 9) Andrew Novak / Justin Rose; 11) Justin Lower; 12) Christiaan Bezuidenhout; 13) Kensei Hirata; 14) Eric Cole / Robert MacIntyre; 16) Nick Taylor; 17) Ludvig Aberg / Michael Kim; 19) Kurt Kitayama; 20) Chris Kirk / Seamus Power; 22) Rico Hoey / Alex Noren / Brandt Snedeker; 25) Austin Eckroat.
Top 25 SG Around The Green: 1) Stephan Jaeger; 2) Jason Day; 3) Wyndham Clark / Matt Fitzpatrick; 5) Emilio Gonzalez / Sepp Straka; 7) Taylor Pendrith; 8) Christiaan Bezuidenhout; 9) Min Woo Lee / Will Zalatoris; 11) Akshay Bhatia; 12) Sam Burns; 13) Scottie Scheffler; 14) Justin Rose; 15) Mackenzie Hughes / Pontus Nyholm; 17) S.H. Kim; 18) Marty Dou / Robert MacIntyre; 20) Andrew Putnam; 21) Harris English; 22) Ryan Gerard / Ben Griffin; 24) Bud Cauley / Takumi Kanaya.
Top 25 SG Tee to Green: 1) Max Greyserman; 2) Sepp Straka; 3) Will Zalatoris; 4) Justin Rose / Scottie Scheffler; 6) Sam Burns; 7) Harry Hall / Robert MacIntyre; 9) Akshay Bhatia / Min Woo Lee; 11) Christiaan Bezuidenhout; 12) Taylor Pendrith; 13) Pierceson Coody; 14) Ludvig Aberg / Ben Griffin; 16) Ryan Gerard / Nick Taylor; 18) Si Woo Kim; 19) Kensei Hirata; 20) David Ford / Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 22) Kurt Kitayama / Jesper Svensson; 24) Matt Fitzpatrick; 25) Dan Brown / Haotong Li / Alex Noren / J.T. Poston.
Top 25 SG Putting: 1) Rasmus Hojgaard / Scottie Scheffler; 3) Sepp Straka; 4) S.H. Kim; 5) Max Greyserman; 6) Kris Ventura; 7) Emilio Gonzalez / Sami Valimaki; 9) Akshay Bhatia; 10) Sam Burns / Matt Fitzpatrick / Patton Kizzire; 13) Daniel Berger; 14) Wyndham Clark; 15) Andrew Novak / Taylor Pendrith / Kevin Yu; 18) Harry Hall / Denny McCarthy / Aldrich Potgieter; 21) Michael Kim / Robert MacIntyre / Peter Malnati / Justin Rose; 25) Ludvig Aberg.
Top 25 SG Total: 1) Sepp Straka; 2) Scottie Scheffler; 3) Harry Hall / Taylor Pendrith; 5) J.T. Poston; 6) Robert MacIntyre; 7) Justin Rose; 8) Sam Burns; 9) Dan Brown / Si Woo Kim / Min Woo Lee / Andrew Novak; 13) Ludvig Aberg / S.H. Kim / Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 16) Akshay Bhatia / Rasmus Hojgaard / Will Zalatoris; 19) Matt Fitzpatrick / Ben Griffin; 21) Rico Hoey; 22) Christiaan Bezuidenhout / Russell Henley; 24) Matt McCarty / Michael Thorbjornsen.
Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the Strokes Gained Stats of The American Express winners at the host Stadium Course (36 holes) since 2016 gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this desert, short, Par 72:
Strokes Gained Tournament Trends:
2025, Sepp Straka (-25). SG Off the Tee: 2nd, SG Approach: 31st, SG Around the Green: 27th, SG Tee to Green: 13th, SG Putting: 8th.
2024, Nick Dunlap (-29). SG Off the Tee: 57th, SG Approach: 4th, SG Around the Green: 52nd, SG Tee to Green: 17th, SG Putting: 9th.
2023, Jon Rahm (-27). SG Off the Tee: 13th, SG Approach: 7th, SG Around the Green: 22nd, SG Tee to Green: 6th, SG Putting: 61st.
2022, Hudson Swafford (-23). SG Off the Tee: 45th, SG Approach: 4th, SG Around the Green: 25th, SG Tee to Green: 11th, SG Putting: 2nd.
2021, Si Woo Kim (-23). SG Off the Tee: 10th, SG Approach: 2nd, SG Around the Green: 16th, SG Tee to Green: 1st, SG Putting: 8th.
2020, Andrew Landry (-26). SG Off the Tee: 5th, SG Approach: 9th, SG Around the Green: 65th, SG Tee to Green: 13th, SG Putting: 6th.
2019, Adam Long (-26). SG Off the Tee: 40th, SG Approach: 43rd, SG Around the Green: 30th, SG Tee to Green: 46th, SG Putting: 9th.
2018, Jon Rahm (-22). SG Off the Tee: 4th, SG Approach: 7th, SG Around the Green: 60th, SG Tee to Green: 12th, SG Putting: 28th.
2017, Hudson Swafford (-20). SG Off the Tee: 1st, SG Approach: 5th, SG Around the Green: 71st, SG Tee to Green: 7th, SG Putting: 44th.
2016, Jason Dufner (-25). SG Off the Tee: 26th, SG Approach: 42nd, SG Around the Green: 8th, SG Tee to Green: 23rd, SG Putting: 14th.
Strokes Gained Tournament Skill Averages:
SG Off the Tee: 20th, SG Approach: 15th, SG Around the Green: 38th, SG Tee to Green: 15th, SG Putting: 19th.
Tournament Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the final stats of the winners here since 2016 gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this test:
2025, Sepp Straka (-25). 307 yards (46th), 73.2% fairways (9th), 83.3% greens in regulation (1st), 83.3% scrambling (5th), 1.58 putts per GIR (9th).
2024, Nick Dunlap (-29). 321 yards (4th), 58.9% fairways (57th), 80.6% greens in regulation (16th), 90.9% scrambling (2nd), 1.56 putts per GIR (14th).
2023, Jon Rahm (-27). 316 yards (11th), 69.6% fairways (24th), 83.3% greens in regulation (2nd), 83.3% scrambling (7th), 1.57 putts per GIR (10th).
2022, Hudson Swafford (-23). 307 yards (13th), 64.3% fairways (37th), 72.2% greens in regulation (21st), 75.0 % scrambling (20th), 1.58 putts per GIR (5th).
2021, Si Woo Kim (-23). 300 yards (29th), 73.2% fairways (16th), 81.9% greens in regulation (1st), 84.6 % scrambling (4th), 1.61 putts per GIR (11th).
2020, Andrew Landry (-26). 286 yards (61st), 75.0% fairways (3rd), 76.4% greens in regulation (7th), 76.5 % scrambling (25th), 1.46 putts per GIR (1st).
2019, Adam Long (-26). 291 yards (28th), 69.6% fairways (12th), 70.8% greens in regulation (41st), 85.7 % scrambling (7th), 1.51 putts per GIR (1st).
2018, Jon Rahm (-22). 310 yards (5th), 64.3% fairways (28th), 72.2% greens in regulation (20th), 75.0 % scrambling (21st), 1.56 putts per GIR (8th).
2017, Hudson Swafford (-20). 307 yards (5th), 55.4% fairways (61st), 80.6% greens in regulation (1st), 71.4 % scrambling (30th), 1.66 putts per GIR (24th).
2016, Jason Dufner (-25). 290 yards (49th), 75.0% fairways (5th), 75.0% greens in regulation (15th), 72.2 % scrambling (40th), 1.54 putts per GIR (5th).
Tournament Skill Averages:
Driving Distance: 25th, Driving Accuracy: 25th, Greens in Regulation: 13th, Scrambling: 16th, Putting Average 9th.
So let’s take a view from players as to how the American Express courses set-up plus what skill sets the courses favour:
Sepp Straka (2025): “Yeah, that was really nice. Any time you can make a turkey it’s good, especially on the Stadium Course like that. Yeah, there’s zero wind, so if you hit good shots you can definitely get yourself some birdie looks. The greens are really firm because they’re new, and that made it tough to get it close. Yeah, fortunate I was able to make some putts when I got it close. Yeah, I was stagnant on the back nine, making a bunch of pars, had some good saves. 16’s a par-5, you want to take advantage of it, but it’s dicey because any time you hit a drive or second shot, anything left, you’re pretty much dead. You got to keep it up the right side. Hit two really good shots to put me in a good position.
And, yeah, 17, they had to move it up a lot because the firm greens. Without the wind it actually played fairly simple. It was just a wedge up the pretty much the middle of the green and just give yourself a look. Just something they had to do for the course because it could have gotten out of hand from the back tee. Then 18’s pretty intimidating, water all up the left. I tugged my second shot a little bit, got it — I was trying to land it middle of the green, and ended up going pretty much right at the pin, and because I tugged it a bit it went through the green. Yeah, I was able to hit a good chip on line and yeah sunk it.
Yeah, it was very different here at la Quinta. Honestly, off the tee it’s a little more, I guess, a little tighter. It’s not as much penalty areas out here as there is at Stadium, but you still have to drive it really well. I did that great today. Iron play was not as good today as yesterday, had to make a lot of putts, fortunately the putter was really hot, especially early in the round.
On 18, pulled my 3-wood a little bit. It’s one of those great holes out here at La Quinta where it kind of pinches in, and the further up you try to push it, the tighter it gets. I tried to hit a 3-wood down there and just pulled it a hair, and, yeah, didn’t really have anything from there. Hit a pretty good shot just to get it 10 yards short of the green. Yeah, hit a really nice wedge shot in there, so that was nice to see to finish the day.”
J.T. Poston (2024): “Yeah, we played the Stadium Course on Tuesday, and it’s definitely, there’s a few subtle changes. For the most part it’s just kind of resurfacing the greens and maybe making them a little bit bigger. With the new surface they’re definitely firmer, so it’s always been the toughest of the three this week, but I think it will especially play tough just with that firmness. I think you may not see quite as many birdies, but again there’s a lot of wedge, a lot of scoring clubs, so somebody will still play well out there and shoot a low number.”
Nick Dunlap (2024): “No, I’m still trying to gain as much experience as I can. Obviously, like you said, I’ve played four, I guess, PGA Tour sanctioned events, counting the two U.S. Open, which I think those are different, they’re kind of their own animal. But, no, I’m still trying to learn as much as I can, and how some of these golf courses are different from college, but they’re still similar. Playing in front of the crowds, and, no, I’ve enjoyed it. I’m going to stick to what I’ve been doing, and that’s just give myself as many birdie chances as possible.
Honestly, I play a course back home in Huntsville, I played there for about two years, it’s very easy, it’s kind of in front of you, but it teaches you how to break that barrier of 8-, 9-, 10-under and keeping it going. Especially out here, I was 15-under through two rounds, and I wasn’t even, I was two back of the lead. So I think that kind of shows you, you have to keep your foot down out here. I think that kind of goes for all of professional golf. These guys are really, really good and it’s fun to be out here competing with them.”
Jon Rahm (2023): “The one thing I know is, I mean, if you’re somewhere between 20- and 25-under and I’m pretty sure 70 percent of that is done on two of the courses. You got to, I think the year I won I shot 16-under between La Quinta and Nicklaus. So the Stadium Course, if the wind picks up, can show some teeth, that can happen. You need to shoot low on those other two courses, no matter how it goes.”
Jon Rahm (La Quinta): “I’m happy I played this golf course in these easy of conditions. And, yeah, it can show some teeth because some of those fairways are quite narrow to hit. Missing fairways, it’s not going to cost you too much, but you can’t be throwing darts like you usually do off the fairway here. If you put it in the fairway you have a short iron in. If you start getting gusts, it can get away from you. Mainly because it’s a golf course where you can shoot of 5- or lower pretty often and if you play the other courses on pace and don’t shoot low here you can find yourself just a little bit off of the lead group. We all have to play all courses. If it’s blowing tomorrow on Nicklaus, Nicklaus can also show some teeth. It all evens out.”
Jon Rahm (Tournament): “That was probably the best I’ve ever had my wedge game. It was a distance today which was basically a hundred-yard-feeling shot that I had multiple times. I had it on, let’s say 10. I think I had it on 13, 14, 15. Close to it on 1 and on 5. That is six shots that none of ’em were outside eight feet and three of them were absolute tap-ins. One almost went in. So, yeah, that part of it was amazing. I hit a couple of really good long iron shots as well. Second shot into 7 was really good.”
Hudson Swafford (2022): “Yeah, I don’t know what the weather’s going to be like tomorrow, but you got to be patient, anything can happen here, last year I bogeyed the first hole, I was 1-over through the first six, I think I was six shots back when I was in the last group and played pretty flawless golf after that, bogey-free 6-under from there. So anything can happen. You give yourself chances, you can make some birdies out here. It is a little visually intimidating, so the fat side of the green’s not always terrible out here and that’s kind of going to be my game plan and just don’t have to come out and try to birdie every hole early, just kind of plod along.
I’ve fallen in love with this place. This is kind of my West Coast home, honestly. We base ourselves kind of out of the Hideaway just across the street. We have now, this is our 8th year. I come out here early before Sony, get some work in, get ready. I enjoy the weather here. I enjoy the grass. It’s all Bermuda grass. It’s what I grew up on. I don’t know why here. It just clicks. I see the lines on the greens pretty well here and I got a lot of confidence and a lot of good memories here, so I can pull on that and keep going.”
Si Woo Kim (2021): ” Yeah, I have great memories with this course. So for Q-School, I passed the Q-School on this course, and then I have great memories and then that’s why I feel confidence whenever I come to this course. So that helps a lot for me this week, especially I try to focus on the memories that gave me good scores, so that’s why it drove me to the win.”
“So on the back nine there’s a lot of birdie chances and I had to know what’s going on, so that helps me how to play my game the final round. So I kept watching the leaderboard. I knew that Cantlay played really well. So I knew I have a lot of chances on the back nine for birdies, so I tried to keep patient and I believed in myself and I got the chance on 16 and 17 and that’s when I could make it and I’m happy with that.”
Andrew Landry (Nicklaus Course): “I like that atmosphere over there, there’s some good holes, there’s some mediocre holes, you just got to drive the ball well out there, you got to hit your irons very well out there and you got to play smart, because there’s some par-5s out there that can jump up and bite you if you’re not playing smart. So we got a good game plan for it, we played well there in the past, and now we’ll see what happens tomorrow.
The key to this week has been good putting. I’ve been putting the ball absolutely beautifully and just kind of everything’s been there, my wedge play has been there, I hit some really good wedges. I went to a 54 degree this week instead of a playing a 52, 60 and it’s just kind of given me that 105 to 115 number just a lot better. And I’ve had it three or four times and I’ve hit every one of them gimmie. So the wedges are there, the putting’s there, just need to go out and go do it again tomorrow.”
Adam Long: “I had some pretty good hopes, I guess, because I played well in my practice rounds and made a lot of birdies and felt pretty good leading up to Thursday, so I would have been surprised had I not had a good start. But yeah, it’s three awesome golf courses and you hit fairways and greens and you can make a lot of putts because these greens on all three courses are just perfect. So you can make them from all over.I played here for Q-School in 2011, so, yeah, it’s been a bit. I think a junior tournament too before that. But been here a few times, but it’s a great place to play golf and, yeah, I’ve had good mojo here and hope to keep it going.”
Jon Rahm: “This area, the courses are always in really, really good shape, so it’s tough to pick one. But just because I’m familiar with it I would say the Nicklaus, just because I played it, I mean, this would be about my ninth round on this golf course, so I know it pretty good. But again, I feel like any other person, when you have a good day, any course is fit for you. It’s about making good shots. Well, yeah, I mean I’ve been living in this area for five years and most of the college tournaments we played was around here, so exactly, we played here – we played the Norman course as well – I’m just familiar with this type of golf course.
The Stadium Course, it’s a Pete Dye design, where I played four years of my life, it’s a Pete Dye design. Very, very similar type of golf. You need to hit it a lot more accurate off the tee because being in the fairway is a lot more important. With the small greens, you have water in play, you need to be more precise, clearly the hardest golf course. If you can have 5- or 6-under there you’re going to pick up a lot of shots. So hopefully have an organized round like I did yesterday, not have to fight too much to shoot under par.”
Hudson Swafford (Stadium): “Absolutely, yeah, no, this is a tough golf course. When you come to the desert, all you think is birdies, usually the scores yield birdies. But this Stadium Course has kind of changed that. I know there is a lot of good rounds out here, but one errant shot, it’s very penalizing. So you got to be super patient on this golf course.”
Jason Dufner: “I came out before I went to Sony and played these golf courses, both of them, twice. Spent some time out here practicing and playing. So I felt good. We have had some great weather, obviously that helps. The courses are in great shape. So I’m pretty comfortable right now.
The Stadium Course, it’s a difficult golf course. There’s a little bit of room to play off the tee, in my opinion, but if you get off the path a little bit, you can get into some trouble. He’s got some water out there, he’s got some tricky bunkers, you get some uneven lies here and there. The greens kind are difficult. They run on some angles and there’s some slope. So it’s definitely the most difficult of the courses we have played here in the desert area. But today it just was one of those days, but I had a wedge in my hand. So just be aggressive. I know that, if I miss, it’s a soft fade to the right, so I can manage that.”
For the record, here’s the breakdown of Bermudagrass PGA Tour victors in the field since 2008:
10 – Scottie Scheffler.
4 – Sam Burns, Jason Day, Billy Horschel, Zach Johnson, Si Woo Kim, Chris Kirk.
3 – Russell Henley, Matt Kuchar, Justin Rose, Brandt Snedeker, Nick Taylor.
2 – Daniel Berger, Patrick Cantlay, Jason Dufner, Harris English, Rickie Fowler, Mackenzie Hughes, Peter Malnati, Adam Scott, Sepp Straka.
1 – Ludvig Aberg, Akshay Bhatia, Rafael Campos, Wyndham Clark, Nick Dunlap, Austin Eckroat, Tony Finau, Steven Fisk, Matt Fitzpatrick, Ben Griffin, Lanto Griffin, Brian Harman, Joe Highsmith, Max Homa, Sungjae Im, Stephan Jaeger, Tom Kim, Kurt Kitayama, Patton Kizzire, Andrew Landry, Min Woo Lee, Adam Long, Keith Mitchell, Taylor Moore, J.T. Poston, Seamus Power, Davis Riley, Adam Schenk, Kevin Streelman, Adam Svensson, Brendon Todd, Sami Valimaki, Jhonattan Vegas, Gary Woodland, Kevin Yu, Will Zalatoris.
Recent champions here include Dunlap (Amateur); Long (Tour Rookie); Swafford (1st time PGA Tour winner); Landry (1 win at the time); Si Woo Kim and Swafford (2022) (2 Wins); with Dufner and defending champion Sepp Straka (3 Wins). The very elite Jon Rahm won this in 2018 and 2023 – he had won 1 PGA Tour and 3 main Tour victories before winning here for the first time in 2017. Clearly it’s all up for grabs this week!
The plot thickens further when you look at the circumstances prior to victories for recent winners.
2025 was a classic example of understated form just under the surface. Sepp Straka played both the Sentry and the Sony Open finishing 15th and 30th respectively. Rounds of -8 65 (Friday) and -6/67 (Saturday) at Kapalua had him 5th heading into Sunday. A couple of -4/66s at Waialae had him 6th after 36 holes, before a Saturday 72 ejected him from the victory chase. 66/1 was juicy in hindsight.
2024’s Nick Dunlap victory was the most wild of a tournament that is synonymous with volatile winners from complete left-field. Given a sponsor’s invite as the 2023 U.S. Amateur champion, Dunlap arrived with professional tournament form of MC-MC-MC-MC, the last of which had come at the Bermuda Championship in November. He won at 350/1.
In 2023 Rahm’s American Express victory came just 2 weeks after winning The Sentry. He had also won the DP World Tour Championship in November the previous year.
2022 saw winner Hudson Swafford (another LIV defector) arrive here off 5 made cuts in his last 6 events. 48th the week before at the Sony Open, which was his first event of 2022, inbound form was consistent if not spectacular, reading 48-MC-35-33-32-56. Naturally he’d won here in 2017.
Si Woo Kim had finished 25th the week before at the Sony Open, which had been his opening event of 2021, where he opened with a -6/64. Prior to that his form was decent with 34th at The Masters, a 17th at the CJ Cup and 8th at the Shriners Open the highlights.
Andrew Landry had inbound form of MC/MC/MC/MC/MC before winning here in 2020. He has missed the cut the week before at the Sony Open. Out of 6 seasonal outings he had a single 23rd to his name. Course form lovers could have plucked out a 2nd place finish here 2 years earlier, where he lost in a play off to Jon Rahm, but let’s be frank – Landry was a find and a half.
Then we have Adam Long who was 600/1 prior to winning this. In 4 previous starts on the PGA Tour he had 3 Missed Cuts and a 63rd to his name. Again pick the bones from that! Rahm in 2018 had finished 2nd at Kapalua 2 weeks prior. Hudson Swafford in 2017 finished 13th the week before at Waialae – he had been T3 after 54 holes. 2016 saw Jason Dufner win this after another showing the week before at Waialae. He ultimately finished 9th at the Sony Open, and had been 6th after 54 holes. He had also won the Franklin Templeton Shoot Out in late December with Brandt Snedeker.
So what’s the right recipe for success this week? In all honesty it’s very hard to gauge as it would be at a tournament where the average winning price over the past 6 renewals has been 144/1 from a 66/1, 350/1, 13/2F, 175/1, 66/1, and 200/1. If previous renewals are anything to go by then all types of player can thrive here, both the long bomber, accurate ball-striker and a player who has a career-breaking week with the putter.
My Final The American Express Tips Are As Follows:
Regulars will know my affection for Si Woo Kim on Bermudagrass greens. All 4 of his PGA Tour wins have come on them across Sedgefield (2016), TPC Sawgrass (2017), Waialae (2023) and here at PGA West in 2022. Fascinatingly he’s also lost in 3 play-offs across the Robert Trent Jones Golf Trail (2016), Harbour Town (2018) and Sedgefield (2021), so 4 Bermudagrass greened victories could have been 5 or potentially even more.
He’s a specialist who thrives on shorter tracks, where the putter suddenly comes alive powered by top-notch approach play. Current form is excellent and building.
In search of a top 50 OWGR, post PGA Tour Playoff action in the autumn saw continental globe trotting with 5th at the BMW PGA Championship (UK), 20th at the Baycurrent Classic (Japan), 21st at the Genesis Championship (South Korea), 4th at the RSM Classic (United States) and 3rd at the Australian Open. Mission accomplished as Si Woo booked his 2026 Masters Tournament invite pre-Christmas. A 3-time International Team Presidents Cup squad member across 2017, 2022 and 2024, another PGA Tour win as soon as possible would wrap up his 4th appearance later in the year at Medinah.
11th last week at the Sony Open, Si Woo ranked from a Strokes Gained Perspective – 2nd for Off the Tee, 3rd for Approach and 1st for Tee to Green. Primed on a track where he’s been 9th (2016), 1st (2021) and 11th (2022) amongst 5 top 25 finishes across 8 appearances.
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With Scottie Scheffler in the field, naturally prices further down the betting board are enhanced. In Nick Taylor we have a player who has won on the PGA Tour every year across 2023, 2024 and 2025. 3 of his 5 Tour wins at Pebble Beach (2020), Waialae (2025), and in the desert at TPC Scottsdale (2024) have all come on the West Coast swing, plus that WM Phoenix Open win saw the Canadian in the heat of Sunday battle with Scheffler, before winning the title in a play-off against another “desert rat” in the form of Charley Hoffman.
19th at the Tour Championship in August, Nick played the WWT Championship and Nedbank Challenge on the DP World Tour late in 2025, with 18th in South Africa seeing him in the top 20 for Strokes Gained tee to Green. An opening -8/62 on Thursday when defending the Sony Open in Hawaii last week was notable, with Nick T1 after 36 holes and 5th heading into Sunday. Strong +30mph gusts aren’t typical Nick Taylor conditions so I was impressed and an eventual 13th place finish puts him in a great position for The American Express this week.
10th for Strokes Gained on Approach and 15th for Tee to Green at Waialae last week, the World Number 51 has 3 PGA Tour wins on Bermudagrass greens plus was a career-best 12th here in 2025, where he was 8th after 36 holes.
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Michael Kim sure had a breakout 2025. 2nd at the WM Phoenix Open (desert golf on a short, TifEagle Bermudagrass/Poa Trivialis overseed greened TPC Scottsdale), 13th at AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Signature event), 6th at the Cognizant Classic (Bermudagrass greened PGA National), 4th at Arnold Palmer Invitational (Bermudagrass greened Bay Hill), 10th at the BMW Championship (FedEx Cup Playoff event) and his first main Tour win for over 7 years at the Open de France on the DP World Tour.
After securing an OWGR top 50 position – securing a 2026 Masters invite following on from 27th last year – he kept busy late into 2025 with 9th in India, 32nd in Abu Dhabi, 24th at the DP World Tour Championship at the Earth Course and 5th partnering Rose Zhang at the Grant Thornton Invitational in Florida.
31st last week at the Sony Open in Hawaii where he shot 67 (Thursday), 68 (Friday), 65 (Sunday); the strong winds on Saturday did for his top 10 challenge. The closing 65 was in the top 10 for lowest scores on Sunday and provides momentum as he arrives at PGA West where he finished 6th in 2024 – Michael was 2nd after 36 holes. Across my 8-event Strokes Gained trackers, Kim sits in the top 25 for Putting (3rd last week at Waialae) and in the top 20 for Approach – a cracking combination for this week. Plus it’s worth remembering that he won the 2018 John Deere Classic with a super-low -27/257.
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Andrew Novak is the 14th-highest world ranked player in the Amex field. He finished 25th in the FedEx Cup standings last season, alongside U.S. Open champion J.J. Spaun and ahead of the likes of Hideki Matsuyama and Sepp Straka. Not too bad for his first ever Tour Championship outing. Across his last 2 outings he has finished 7th at the RSM Classic shooting opening rounds of 61 and 63 to be the co-leader at Sea Island. From there in mid-December he played the Grant Thornton Invitational at the Tiburon Golf Club, Florida where he partnered Lauren Coughlin to the title, shooting -28/188. Fascinatingly last week’s winner Chris Gotterup finished T2 with his partner Jennifer Kupcho. So despite inbound form of 6/28/25/8/1 we find Novak at 125/1 to win this week.
Clearly Scottie Scheffler plus tournament form of MC/MC/MC/MC drives that price, but Andrew makes his 5th consecutive appearance in Palm Springs, California this week, so there must be something about the set-up he likes, most probably the with Bermudagrass Poa Trivialis overseed greens. Fact is that Novak is majorly Bermudagrass-positive as we found out in TPC Southwind, Sea Island and Tiburon recently. You can add to that his win with Ben Griffin at TPC Louisiana (Pete Dye design), 3rd at Harbour Town (Pete Dye design) and 3rd at TPC San Antonio last year; plus 2nd in Bermuda (2024), 8th at TPC Scottsdale (3rd after 54 holes – 2024), 9th at PGA National (2024), 9th at TPC San Antonio (2023), as well as his 2020 Korn Ferry Tour win at Lakewood National GC in Florida.
Ranking as the 17th best American in the OWGR, Novak – with 2026 Major and PGA Tour Signature-event appearances safely on his schedule – has a real crack at the Presidents Cup, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see him in the mix this week in Palm Springs.
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I’ll stick with Nick Dunlap for a second consecutive week. A nightmare Saturday 77 where bad driving saw him lose 7 shots across the 6th, 8th and 18th holes scuppered any chances of victory, which was disappointing after opening rounds of 65-68 saw the Alabamian thereabouts in T10 – Gotterup was one shot better-off at halfway in T6. Take the 3 nightmare holes away and Dunlap would have finished in the top 20 and I’m a believer that Nick’s game is on the up-trend. Across my 8-event Strokes Gained tracker he sits 3rd for Strokes Gained on Approach – keep it on the planet off the tee, as per Sunday at Waialae, and he may well become a factor.
Here in 2024, Dunlap became the first amateur to win a PGA Tour event since Phil Mickelson won the Tucson Open in 1991. Some accolade! He then went on to win the Barracuda Championship in August, played again in California at the Jack Nicklaus-designed Old Greenwood. Dunlap won his American Express title here at -29/259 and has also had further amateur success on the West Coast having won the 2023 U.S. Amateur at Cherry Hills Country Club, in Denver, Colorado.
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I’ll also go with Adrien Dumont De Chassart. Returning for his second season on the PGA Tour, “ADDC” played nicely last week at the Sony Open in Hawaii, finishing 23rd after opening rounds of 64 (Thursday) and 67 (Friday) saw the talented Belgian, 25 year-old in a share of the 36-hole lead.
2025 saw him win the Compliance Solutions Championship in Oklahoma with a -33/251 total in a season where he also finished 3rd in Idaho, suggesting he likes to play in the Pacific North West. His first Korn Ferry Tour win in 2023 came at the BMW Charity Pro-Am confirming he doesn’t mind the slow nature of play and the more relaxed atmosphere with amateur partners.
10th for Off the Tee and 7th for Tee to Green at Waialae last week, it’s a shot in the dark – but weird things happen at The American Express.
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