Picking out some of the best outsiders for The Masters is one of my favourite pieces to write all year. Fact is, with all the focus on the top dozen in the betting, there’s value to be found if you dig deep enough into the market at Augusta this week.
The last few years at The Masters has generally produced some tasty 3-figure places or better:
- 2021: Marc Leishman, who’s perennially touted as a player to follow at the Majors, tied for 5th last year, which meant an each-way return with pretty much every bookmaker.
- 2020: Dylan Frittelli finished in a tie for 5th at 250/1; CT Pan was tied 7th at a massive 500/1 which delighted those who’d backed him up to 10 places EW.
- 2019: Webb Simpson finished tied 5th at 100/1.
- 2018: Cameron Smith finished tied 5th at 125/1.
- 2017: Kevin Chappell finished tied 7th at 300/1
- 2016: Lee Westwood added another Major runner up finish at 200/1, whereas JB Holmes finished in a tie for 4th at 150/1.
- 2014: Runner-up Jonas Blixt was 300/1 before the start and veteran Miguel Angel Jimenez, who finished 4th, was 200/1.
- 2013: Play-off loser Angel Cabrera was available at 110/1 before the event started; Marc Leishman, who finished 4th for a full each-way payout, was a massive 400/1 on the Tuesday before The Masters
- 2012: Winner Bubba Watson was available at 55/1 pre-event despite consecutive top-4 finishes coming into Augusta. Runner up Louis Oosthuizen was 90/1 and 3rd place Peter Hanson was a massive 200/1. Some very tasty prices indeed!
- Charl Schwartzel (100/1), Jason Day (150/1) and Adam Scott (90/1) filled the top 3 positions in 2011.
- Angel Cabrera (140/1 – 2009), Trevor Immelman (150/1 – 2008) and Zach Johnson (200/1 – 2007) were also huge-priced Masters winners in recent times.
Now the each-way terms available from some bookmakers this week make for an interesting dilemma – do you stick rigidly to more regular each way terms and grab a top price on an outsider, or do you accept a reduced price in exchange for more favourable each-way terms? Value is in the eye of the beholder in my view and it’s possible to argue both sides here, however my view is that with an extremely strong group of players at the head of the betting, taking some extra places in this instance is my favoured route.
Personally I’ve opted to take a balanced approach with 3 selections at 8 places each way, 1/5 odds, combined with relatively strong prices. Both bet365 and Betfred are offering strong markets and 8 places each-way this week; their new customer offers are below: