US Open Tips 2025

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On to this week and the 125th US Open is visiting Oakmont Country Club for the 10th time. It should be an absolute feast of golf with all the talk being around the fast, contoured greens, the length of the rough, and whether it will rain at the weekend.

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Course Guide: The fast greens here at Oakmont grab the media attention pre-tournament and rightly so. 2007 winner Angel Cabrera mastered the greens and his close association with Augusta is worthy of note. 2016 winner Dustin Johnson also has a Green Jacket in his walk-in closet. As well as the greens, every U.S. Open build-up fascinates around the rough and its length. Rough here at Oakmont has been described as treacherous and expect tough, non-graduated rough along the fairways. In essence there’s a semi cut of around 1.5 yards before balls hits the genuine 5 inch long grass.

Oakmont contains the longest par-3 in U.S. Open history with the 8th playing 289 yards. It also includes two +600 yard, par-5s.Freshly extended to 7,372 yards by the Hanse and Wagner restoration which was unveiled in 2024, this is a long Par 70, but this won’t be a Major Championship dictated by the length of the course.

Oakmont Country Club, Oakmont, Pennsylvania: Designer: Henry Fownes 1903 with Tom Fazio re-design 2006; Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner Renovation 2023; Course Type: Classical, Technical, Long; Par: 70; Length: 7,372 yards; Holes with Water Hazards: 0; Number of Sand Bunkers: 168; Acres of Fairway: 27; Fairways: Bentgrass with Poa Annua; Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass with Perennial Ryegrass and Poa Annua 5+”; Greens: 8,500 sq.ft average featuring Poa Annua; Tournament Stimp: 13-14ft.

Oakmont Country Club Fairway Widths (yards): Below are the fairway widths for Oakmont and how they compare to recent courses that we’ve seen on Tour:

• Oakmont: 18-28 yards at 300 yards
• TPC Toronto: 35-37 yards at 300 yards.
• Muirfield Village: 24-25 yards at 300 yards.
• Colonial: 25-30 yards at 300 yards.
• Quail Hollow: 28-30 yards at 300 yards.
• The Dunes Golf and Beach Club: 20 – 25 yards at 300 yards.
• Philadelphia Cricket Club: 30-32 yards at 300 yards.
• TPC Craig Ranch: 30 – 40 yards at 300 yards.
• Harbour Town: 250 yards from tee: 29 yards wide; 275:26; 300:22; 325:26; 350:22.
• Oaks Course: 250 yards from tee: 33 yards wide; 275:34; 300:29; 325:27; 350:26.
• Memorial Park: 30 – 40 yards at 300 yards.
• Copperhead: 250 yards from the tee: 24 yards wide; 275:20; 300:21; 325:23 350:19.
• TPC Sawgrass: 250 yards from the tee: 31 yards wide; 275:32; 300:30; 325:28 350:20.
• Bay Hill: 250 yards from the tee: 32 yards wide; 275:33; 300:33; 325:39 350:29.
• PGA National: 250 yards from the tee: 29 yards wide; 275:27; 300:25; 325:27 350:25.
• TPC Scottsdale: 250 yards from the tee: 33 yards wide; 275:30; 300:28; 325:27; 350:27.
• Pebble Beach: 250 yards from the tee: 33 yards wide; 275:33; 300:29; 325:30 350:26.
• Torrey Pines South: 250 yards from the tee: 26 yards wide; 275:27; 300:25; 325:24; 350:23.
• Pete Dye Stadium: 250 yards from the tee: 29 yards wide; 275:27; 300:26; 325:26; 350:24.
• Waialae: 250 yards from the tee: 34 yards wide; 275:32; 300:34; 325:37; 350:34.
• Plantation Course: 250 yards from the tee: 59 yards wide; 275:61; 300:65; 325:60; 350:62.

Course Designer Links: For research purposes other Gil Hanse PGA Tour designs are listed below:

• Aronimink Golf Club – 2019 BMW Championship
• Colonial Country Club – 2024- 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge
• Los Angeles Country Club – 2023 U.S. Open
• Merion – 2013 U.S. Open
• Plainfield CC – The Barclays – 2011 & 2015
• Ridgewood CC – The Barclays / Northern Trust 2010, 2014 & 2018
• Southern Hills CC – 2022 U.S. Open
• The Country Club, Brookline – 2022 U.S. Open
• Trump National Doral – 2014 through 2016 WGC Cadillac Championship
• TPC Boston – Deutsche Bank / Dell Technologies Championship through 2018 plus 2020 Northern Trust
• Winged Foot – 2020 U.S. Open

Course Overview: Oakmont Country Club will undoubtedly be a stern test in 2025 in its lengthened guise. At 7,372 yards – up circa 150 yards from 2016 – it’s obvious that in today’s modern game the course’s defence is not overall length.

Oakmont is defended by clever course design which includes the fastest Poa Annua putting surfaces on the circuit, severely canted green complexes with extreme false fronts, 170 bunkers of the deep variety, sloping fairways, a number of blind or semi-blind tee-shots, and traditional US Open-style Kentucky Bluegrass with Perennial Ryegrass and Poa Annua rough – 5 inches in length.

Another aspect of the course which deserves note is its tactical usage of length. Oakmont contains the longest par-3 in U.S. Open history with the 8th playing 289 yards. At its maximum this hole is on the edge of the shorter players’ driving distance ranges. It also includes two +600 yard, par-5s. It will be interesting to see if Rory or Bryson or Min Woo can even attempt to reach in two.

170-odd bunkers add bite and it’s interesting that one of the few changes from 2016 is the fact that rough has been reduced around those bunkers to maximise the number of captures.

Gil Hanse has made the bunkering even more difficult – Oakmont is famous for its Church Pews bunker set between Holes 3 and 4 – with fairway bunkers now getting on for an automatic 1 shot penalty. Oakmont is also known for ditches which criss-cross the property. In 2016 the USGA carved out those ditches to where players could get in there and play. In 2025 that won’t be the case with 12 to 18 inch high native grasses making recovery shots a nightmare.

Other changes to note that will ratchet-up the difficulty include the rough. We always discuss the length of the rough at each and every U.S. Open, and in recent years we have seen graduated rough in-play to alleviate the concerns of the players. That won’t be the case at Oakmont in 2025. The wet Pennsylvania spring has made it particularly thick, with the USGA topping it off at five inches – it will be higher as the championship progresses.

Key areas of change from the Gil Hanse renovation include the addition of more than 24,000 square feet of green surface, so greens are 8,500 sq.ft on average featuring fast Poa Annua.

Encouraged by a vocal club membership who are well known to want their course to play as difficult as possible, Hanse’s work has made the notoriously fast greens even harder. Expect far more pin locations and as Grounds Superintendent Mike McCormick says, “The greens are the No. 1 defence on the course. Oakmont, in today’s world, it’s not a crazy-long golf course. There are several holes out here where the players will be hitting wedges into and it puts even more of an emphasis on the greens.”

US Open Winners: 2024: Bryson DeChambeau (-6); 2023: Wyndham Clark (-10); 2022: Matt Fitzpatrick (-6); 2021: John Rahm (-6); 2020: Bryson DeChambeau (-6); 2019: Gary Woodland (-13); 2018: Brooks Koepka (+1); 2017: Brooks Koepka (-16); 2016: Dustin Johnson (-4); 2015: Jordan Spieth (-5); 2014: Martin Kaymer (-9); 2013: Justin Rose (+1); 2012: Webb Simpson (+1); 2011: Rory McIlroy (-16); 2010: Graeme McDowell (E); 2009: Lucas Glover (-4).

• 2024: Bryson DeChambeau 69-67-69-71 -6/274
• 2023: Wyndham Clark 64-67-69-70 -10/270
• 2022: Matt Fitzpatrick 68-70-68-68 -6/274
• 2021: Jon Rahm 69-70-72-67 -6/278
• 2020: Bryson DeChambeau 69-68-70-67 -6/274
• 2019: Gary Woodland 68-65-69-69 -13/271
• 2018: Brooks Koepka 69-63-66-66 -16/264
• 2017: Brooks Koepka 67-70-68-67 -16/272

OWGR of U.S. Open Winners: 2024: DeChambeau 38; 2023: Clark 32; 2022: Fitzpatrick 18; 2021: Rahm 3; 2020: DeChambeau 9; 2019: Woodland 24; 2018: Koepka 9; 2017: Koepka 22.

Datagolf Ranking U.S. Open Winners: 2024: DeChambeau 10; 2023: Clark 11; 2022: Fitzpatrick 10; 2021: Rahm 1; 2020: DeChambeau 12; 2019 Woodland 20.

Path to Victory: Below are end of round positions for the winners of the US Open since 2010:

• 2024 – Bryson DeChambeau: Round 1: 4th, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 1st.
• 2023 – Wyndham Clark: Round 1: 3rd, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 1st.
• 2022 – Matt Fitzpatrick: Round 1: 7th, Round 2: 13th, Round 3: 1st.
• 2021 – Jon Rahm: Round 1: 5th, Round 2: 5th, Round 3: 6th.
• 2020 – Bryson DeChambeau: Round 1: 14th, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 2nd.
• 2019 – Gary Woodland: Round 1: 8th, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
• 2018 – Brooks Koepka: Round 1: 46th, Round 2: 4th, Round 3: 1st.
• 2017 – Brooks Koepka: Round 1: 4th, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 2nd.
• 2016 – Dustin Johnson: Round 1: 2nd, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 2nd.
• 2015 – Jordan Spieth: Round 1: 7th, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
• 2014 – Martin Kaymer: Round 1: 1st, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
• 2013 – Justin Rose: Round 1: 16th, Round 2: 3rd, Round 3: 5th.
• 2012 – Webb Simpson: Round 1: 23rd, Round 2: 29th, Round 3: 8th.
• 2011 – Rory McIlroy: Round 1: 1st, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
• 2010 – Graeme McDowell: Round 1: 10th, Round 2 1st, Round 3: 2nd.

Shots From the Lead: Below are the US Open winners since 2010 and where they were positioned in terms of shots from the lead during the tournament:

• 2024 – Bryson DeChambeau: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: 3 ahead.
• 2023 – Wyndham Clark: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: level.
• 2022 – Matt Fitzpatrick: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: 3 back, Round 3: level.
• 2021 – Jon Rahm: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: 2 back, Round 3: 3 back.
• 2020 – Bryson DeChambeau: Round 1: 4 back, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: 2 back.
• 2019 – Gary Woodland: Round 1: 3 back, Round 2: 2 ahead, Round 3: 1 ahead.
• 2018 – Brooks Koepka: Round 1: 6 back, Round 2: 5 back, Round 3: level.
• 2017 – Brooks Koepka: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: level, Round 3: 1 back.
• 2016 – Dustin Johnson: Round 1: 1 back, Round 2: 1 ahead, Round 3: 4 back.
• 2015 – Jordan Spieth: Round 1: 3 back, Round 2: level, Round 3: level.
• 2014 – Martin Kaymer: Round 1: 3 ahead, Round 2: 6 ahead, Round 3: 5 ahead.
• 2013 – Justin Rose: Round 1: 4 back, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: 2 back.
• 2012 – Webb Simpson: Round 1: 6 back, Round 2: 6 back, Round 3: 4 back.
• 2011 – Rory McIlroy: Round 1: 3 ahead, Round 2: 6 ahead, Round 3: 8 ahead.
• 2010 – Graeme McDowell: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: 2 ahead, Round 3: 3 back.

Incoming Form of U.S. Open winners since 2010:

• Bryson DeChambeau: 18th LIV Houston/2nd PGA/27th LIV Singapore/26th LIV Adelaide.
• Wyndham Clark: 12th Memorial/MC PGA/1st Quail Hollow/24th Mexico.
• Matt Fitzpatrick: 10th Canada/MC Memorial/5th PGA/2nd Wells Fargo.
• Jon Rahm: WD Memorial/8th PGA/34th Byron/MC Quail.
• Bryson DeChambeau: 25th Tour Champ/50th BMW Champ/MC Northern Trust/4th PGA.
• Gary Woodland: 52nd Memorial/8th PGA/MC Quail Hollow/32nd Augusta.
• Brooks Koepka: 30th TPC Southwind/2nd Colonial/11th TPC Sawgrass/42nd Quail.
• Brooks Koepka: 37th TPC Southwind/31st Memorial/50th TPC4S/16th TPC Sawgrass.
• Dustin Johnson: 5th TPC Southwind/3rd Memorial/12th TPC4S/28th TPC Sawgrass.
• Jordan Spieth: 3rd Memorial/30th TPC4S/2nd Colonial/MC TPC Sawgrass.
• Martin Kaymer: 12th Wentworth/29th TPC4S/1st TPC Sawgrass/18th Quail.
• Justin Rose: 8th Memorial/50th Wentworth/MC TPC Sawgrass/15th TPC Louisiana.
• Webb Simpson: MC Memorial/MC TPC Sawgrass/ 4th Quail/13th New Orleans.
• Rory McIlroy: 5th Memorial/24th Wentworth/MC Quail/3rd Kuala Lumpur.
• Graeme McDowell: 1st Celtic Manor/4th Madrid/28th Wentworth/26th TPC Sawgrass.

Stats: We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s event that are well worth a look. Naturally they’ll help to shape a view on players who could go well this week: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader | Majors Stats | Combined Stats.

My published predictor is available here. Top 10 of my published predictor are: 1) Scottie Scheffler; 2) Bryson DeChambeau; 3) Jon Rahm; 4) Joaquin Niemann; 5) Rory McIlroy; 6) Xander Schauffele; 7) Tommy Fleetwood; 8) Sepp Straka; 9) Nick Taylor; 10) Taylor Pendrith.

Our brand new predictor model is running alongside, where you can build your own rankings in live time, using the variables listed on the left hand side.

US Open Winners & Prices: 2024: DeChambeau 20/1; 2023: Clark 66/1; 2022: Fitzpatrick 25/1; 2021: Rahm 10/1; 2020: DeChambeau 25/1; 2019: Woodland 80/1; 2018: Koepka 25/1; 2017: Koepka 45/1; 2016: Dustin Johnson 16/1; 2015: Spieth 9/1; 2014: Kaymer 40/1; 2013: Rose 28/1; 2012: Simpson 80/1; 2011: McIlroy 22/1; 2010: McDowell 80/1. Past 5 Renewals Average: 29/1; Average: 38/1.

Weather Forecast: The latest weather forecast for Oakmont, Pennsylvania is here.

Pennsylvania in mid-June is featuring some hot weather for the 4 days of the U.S. Open. 27-28 degrees Celsius – 81 – 82 Fahrenheit – is very pleasant, with a slight drop to 24 degrees Celsius 75 Fahrenheit, set for what could be a rainy Saturday. What is for sure is the Oakmont members and USGA will get the ambient conditions they desire for the first 36 holes at the very least.

Be in no doubt that Oakmont has taken plenty of rain. 384 mm or 15.1 inches since the start of March is plenty of precipitation. Over 40 mm – approaching 2 inches – fell over the weekend, with more forecast on Monday, so the course is lush, the fairways will be soft and the rough will be long. Oakmont has SubAir, but I’m expecting at least soft fairways on Thursday, but with Tuesday and Wednesday being warm and dry, expect releasing greens from the off. A long course with releasing greens is a combination the players won’t like.

With wind no significant factor at all, Saturday looks to be the problem. Rain looks likely from mid-morning onwards, turning to thunderstorms in the afternoon with a high 60% probability. Sunday could also see rain, but the probabilities are lower.

Player Strokes Gained Rankings: These top 25 in the field rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the RBC Heritage / Corales Championship / Volvo China Open which includes both PGA Tour and DP World Tour events, where recorded. Player rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:

• Top 25 SG Off The Tee: 1) Bryson DeChambeau; 2) Scottie Scheffler; 3) Chris Gotterup; 4) Jon Rahm; 5) Daniel Berger; 6) Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson; 7) Jordan Smith; 8) Corey Conners; 9) Trent Phillips / Adam Scott; 11) Patrick Cantlay / Harris English / Jordan Spieth / Sepp Straka; 15) J.J. Spaun; 16) Keegan Bradley / Rasmus Hojgaard / Taylor Pendrith; 19) Frederic Lacroix; 20) Jhonattan Vegas; 21) Ryan Gerard; 22) Ryan Fox / Min Woo Lee / Maverick McNealy / Cameron Young.
• Top 25 SG Approach: 1) Emiliano Grillo / Scottie Scheffler; 3) Joaquin Niemann; 4) Richard Bland; 5) Shane Lowry; 6) Keegan Bradley; 7) Matthew Fitzpatrick; 8) Viktor Hovland; 9) Daniel Berger; 10) Tony Finau / Chris Kirk; 12) Corey Conners / Ben Griffin / Trent Phillips; 15) Sepp Straka; 16) Akshay Bhatia / Aaron Rai; 18) Sam Bairstow / Tommy Fleetwood; 20) Brian Campbell / Ryan Fox / Nick Taylor; 23) Nicolas Echavarria; 24) Christiaan Bezuidenhout; 25) Si Woo Kim.
• Top 25 SG Around The Green: 1) Keegan Bradley; 2) Kevin Velo; 3) Guido Migliozzi / Cameron Smith; 5) Tommy Fleetwood / Ryan Gerard; 7) Russell Henley; 8) Tyrrell Hatton / Sam Stevens; 10) Matt Fitzpatrick / Xander Schauffele; 12) Adam Scott; 13) Min Woo Lee / Davis Riley; 15) Sungjae Im / Andrew Novak / Justin Thomas; 18) Brian Campbell / Si Woo Kim / Andrea Pavan; 21) Byeong Hun An / Lucas Glover / Michael Kim / Maverick McNealy; 25) Tony Finau / Tom Hoge.
• Top 25 SG Tee to Green: 1) Scottie Scheffler; 2) Emiliano Grillo; 3) Keegan Bradley; 4) Bryson DeChambeau; 5) Chris Gotterup; 6) Tommy Fleetwood; 7) Shane Lowry; 8) Daniel Berger; 9) Matthew Fitzpatrick; 10) Xander Schauffele; 11) Ryan Gerard / Joaquin Niemann / Trent Phillips; 14) Ryan Fox / Aaron Rai / Jordan Spieth; 17) Si Woo Kim; 18) Corey Conners / Jon Rahm; 20) Harris English / Tony Finau / Sepp Straka; 23) Taylor Pendrith; 24) Ben Griffin / Frederic Lacroix.
• Top 25 SG Putting: 1) Sam Burns; 2) Sepp Straka; 3) J.T. Poston; 4) Justin Thomas; 5) Max Greyserman; 6) Jon Rahm; 7) Ben Griffin / Patrick Reed; 9) Joaquin Niemann; 10) Denny McCarthy / Cameron Young; 12) Bryson DeChambeau; 13) Hideki Matsuyama; 14) Brian Harman; 15) Thomas Detry / Adam Scott; 17) Akshay Bhatia / Collin Morikawa / Sam Stevens; 20) Scottie Scheffler; 21) Tommy Fleetwood / Xander Schauffele / Gary Woodland; 24) Tony Finau / Mark Hubbard.

Player Strokes Gained Total Rankings: These top 25 in the field rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the RBC Heritage / Corales Championship / Volvo China Open which includes PGA Tour, DP World Tour and LIV Golf League events, where recorded. Player rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:

• Top 25 SG Total: 1) Bryson DeChambeau; 2) Scottie Scheffler; 3) Jon Rahm; 4) Joaquin Niemann; 5) Carlos Ortiz; 6) Sam Burns; 7) Tommy Fleetwood; 8) Keegan Bradley; 9) Jinichiro Kozuma / Sepp Straka; 11) Si Woo Kim; 12) Mark Hubbard; 13) Richard Bland / Ben Griffin / Shane Lowry / Xander Schauffele; 17) Matthew Fitzpatrick / Chris Gotterup / Marc Leishman / Jordan Spieth; 21) Corey Conners / Tony Finau / Justin Thomas; 24) Tyrrell Hatton / J.T. Poston.

Tournament Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the final stats of 2007 and 2016 U.S. Opens held here at Oakmont gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this uniquely, classical test:

• 2016, Dustin Johnson (-4). 317 yards (1st), 64.3% fairways (18th), 76.4% greens in regulation (1st), 76.5 % scrambling (1st), 1.87 putts per GIR (43rd).
• 2007, Angel Cabrera (+5). 311 yards (2nd), 48.2% fairways (48th), 65.3% greens in regulation (3rd), 36.8 % scrambling (40th), 1.72 putts per GIR (10th).

Tournament Skill Averages:

• Driving Distance: 2nd, Driving Accuracy: 33rd, Greens in Regulation: 2nd, Scrambling: 21st, Putting Average 37th.

So let’s take a view from players as to how Oakmont sets up and what skill sets the course favours:

Dustin Johnson (2016): “It’s always good to be playing well coming into a U.S. Open because you know it’s going to be tough. This is one place you really need to control your golf ball. You’ve got to control your spin and where you want the ball to land, so obviously, it’s a premium to hit the fairways because the rough’s thick and deep. You can get a decent lie every once in a while, but the majority of them, they sit down, and it’s tough to control it. And then the fairway bunkers are almost a penalty stroke too because they’re so deep, and the ball, you never really get that good of a lie. So I really think it’s important to hit the fairways here.

My bag doesn’t really change no matter what course I’m playing. I put a 2 iron in every once in a while, and I’ll take a wedge out. But this week, I’m going to play a 2 iron and just three wedges. Sometimes I go just driver, 3 wood, 3 iron, and then four wedges, just depending on the course. But this week, I do have a 2 iron in.

The greens. They’re so hard to putt. No matter how close you are to the hole, it’s just, they’re tough to putt. I mean, I hit so many good putts today that I thought were going in, and burned the edge or lip out. But that’s just how it goes. I mean, these greens are tough.

You’ve just got to hit the fairway on 15 and 18. Then 16 is a really tough par 3. And then 17, you know, it’s a short par 4, but it’s difficult. You’ve just got to kind of wherever the flag is, you’ve got to kind of have a game plan and stick to it. Today, with the back flag, I went for it and hit it in the right bunker, hit a great, you know, hit a good bunker shot. Got to eight feet, just short of it, which was fine, and lifted out from there. This morning, the pin was on the front just over the bunker and I laid up. So it just depends on how I’m feeling, which way the wind’s blowing. Just all depends.”

Phil Mickelson (2016): “The reason why I’m optimistic about Oakmont is that it doesn’t require me to hit a lot of drivers. It requires me to get the ball in play off the tee, but when I’m not hitting drivers, if I’m hitting 3-woods, hybrids, I feel confident I’m able to do that a fairly high percentage of the time. I really think it is the hardest golf course we’ve ever played. A lot of golf courses, when it challenges you tee to green the way Oakmont does, it usually has a little bit of a reprieve on the greens, and you really don’t at Oakmont. They’re some of the most undulating, fast, difficult greens to putt. It really is the hardest golf course I think we’ve played.”

Jordan Spieth (2016): “It’s going to take an extreme amount of patience and discipline off the tee. A lot of people talk about Oakmont’s greens but the most important thing I think for this year’s U.S. Open will be driving the golf ball. You don’t have to hit it very far. It will be helpful to hit it far and straight as it is anywhere, but you are going to have discipline to take iron off the tee, knowing you can hit 3-wood and still be ok. You just have to give yourself shots out of the fairway into a lot of these greens, given they slope front to back with false fronts. So you have to be coming out of the fairway with the right amount of spin. Your depth is thrown out on a lot of these holes because it’s well bunkered. Whether it’s an approach shot or a tee shot, there are some bunkers that you think are green-side, or you think you can fly them and actually it’s completely the opposite.”

First Round Leader Analysis: First round leader(s), their wave and winning score since 2010. Full First Round Leader stats are here.

• 2024 – Cantlay/McIlroy – AM/PM Split -5/65 – 55/1 & 22/1.
• 2023 – Fowler/Schauffele – Both AM -8/62 – 55/1 & 35/1.
• 2022 – Hadwin – PM -4/66 – 125/1.
• 2021 – Henley/Oosthuizen – AM/PM Split -4/67 – 100/1 & 45/1.
• 2020 – Thomas – AM -5/65 – 25/1.
• 2019 – Rose – PM -6/65 – 40/1.
• 2018 – Henley/D Johnson/Piercy/Poulter – 2AM/2PM -1/69 – 125/1, 16/1, 200/1 & 100/1.
• 2017 – Fowler – AM -7/65 – 40/1.
• 2016 – Landry – AM -4/66.
• 2015 – D Johnson/Stenson – Both AM -5/65.
• 2014 – Kaymer – PM -5/65.
• 2013 – Mickelson – AM -3/67.
• 2012 – M Thompson – AM -4/66.
• 2011 – McIlroy – PM -6/65.
• 2010 – Casey/de Jonge/Micheel – All PM -2/69.

For the record, here’s the breakdown of pure Poa Annua and Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix PGA Tour victors in the field since 2008:

• 11 – Dustin Johnson.
• 5 – Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson, Jon Rahm.
• 4 – Jason Day, Bryson DeChambeau, Max Homa.
• 3 – Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, Patrick Reed.
• 2 – Cameron Davis, Harris English, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, Justin Rose, Adam Scott, Jordan Spieth, Nick Taylor, Gary Woodland.
• 1 – Ludvig Aberg, Daniel Berger, Akshay Bhatia, Patrick Cantlay, Wyndham Clark, Nick Dunlap, Tony Finau, Matt Fitzpatrick, Ryan Fox, Emiliano Grillo, James Hahn, Tom Hoge, Viktor Hovland, Marc Leishman, Shane Lowry, Robert MacIntyre, Joaquin Niemann, Matthieu Pavon, Andrew Putnam, Xander Schauffele, Scottie Scheffler, Sahith Theegala, Justin Thomas, Erik van Rooyen.

Recent U.S. Open history features a new breed of champions with first-time Major winners galore. Indeed, going back to 2009, 12 of the last 16 champions had never captured a Major title. So for me it’s interesting to look at the prices of first-time Major winners going back to Danny Willett wining the 2016 Masters:

• 2024 U.S. Open Xander Schauffele 18/1
• 2023 Open Championship Brian Harman 110/1
• 2023 US Open Wyndham Clark 66/1
• 2022 Open Championship Cam Smith 28/1
• 2022 US Open Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1
• 2022 Masters Scottie Scheffler 16/1
• 2021 US Open Jon Rahm 10/1 Fav
• 2021 Masters Hideki Matsuyama 45/1
• 2020 US Open Bryson DeChambeau 25/1
• 2020 U.S. Open Collin Morikawa 35/1
• 2019 Open Championship Shane Lowry 70/1
• 2019 US Open Gary Woodland 80/1
• 2018 Open Championship Francesco Molinari 33/1
• 2018 Masters Patrick Reed 50/1
• 2017 U.S. Open Justin Thomas 45/1
• 2017 US Open Brooks Koepka 50/1
• 2016 U.S. Open Jimmy Walker 150/1
• 2016 Open Championship Henrik Stenson 33/1
• 2016 US Open Dustin Johnson 16/1
• 2016 Masters Danny Willett 66/1

Overall it’s well worth noting that the average price for U.S. Open winners for the past 5 renewals is 30/1. Jordon Spieth won at 9/1 in 2015, fresh from a Masters win, and since then the winning prices have been 16/1 (2016 – Johnson), 45/1 (2017 – Koepka), 25/1 (2018 – Koepka), 80/1 (2019 – Woodland), 25/1 (2020 – DeChambeau), 10/1 (2021 – Rahm), 25/1 (2022 – Fitzpatrick), 66/1 (2023 – Clark) and 20/1 (2024 – DeChambeau).

Take the Wyndham Clark win out of the equation and that average odds price falls to 20/1, highlighting that we should expect a quality winner this week at Oakmont, where Dustin Johnson was 16/1 in 2016.

Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 11:55BST 9.6.25 but are naturally subject to fluctuation.