Course Overview. Argentario Golf Club is a parkland course opened in 2006 which sits above the Orbetello Lagoon on Monte Argentario in southern Tuscany, just inland from the Tyrrhenian coast.
At 6,857 yards this Par 71 is on the short side for a modern track, however as the only PGA-licensed course in Italy it attracts a lot of tourist trade and it’s a resort course first and foremost, offering a range of teeing options to different calibre players.
As part of a 10-year plan to get the course ready for its DP World Tour debut, Argentario GC has hosted the BMW Ladies Italian Open on the LET in 2008, the Senior Italian Open in 2022, and most relevant for some of this week’s field, the Italian Challenge Open on the Challenge Tour last year – the final leaderboard for that event can be found here.
Although the course offers views of the sea and is affected by the coastal breeze, it features tree-lined fairways and is built into rolling hills with Mediterranean vegetation and water the penalty when veering off the straight and narrow, making this more a test of strategy and precision than bomb-and-gouge. Greens are relatively small and multi-tiered with a Bentgrass base.
Four Par-5s and five Par-3s explains the overall Par of 71, with the long holes all a fair challenge at between 575 and 632 yards, locking up a fair amount of the overall yardage on the course. 4 sub-400 yard Par-4s will offer scoring opportunities, particularly the 3rd and 16th which measure 312 and 316 yards respectively, with many of the others requiring just a wedge after a successful drive into the fairway.
Tournament Stats. We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s Italian Open that will help to shape a view on players who traditionally play well at this event.
As previously noted, this year’s venue is hosting the Italian Open for the first time so event history should be considered accordingly: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader Stats | Combined Current Form/Event Form.
Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here. As always you can build your own model using the variables available.
Winners & Prices. 2024: Marcel Siem, 175/l; 2023: Adrian Meronk, 22/1; 2022: Robert MacIntyre, 50/1; 2021: Nicolai Hojgaard, N/A*; 2020: Ross McGowan, 750/1; 2019: Bernd Wiesberger, 35/1; 2018: Thorbjorn Olesen, 80/1; 2017, Tyrrell Hatton: 18/1; 2016: Francesco Molinari, 25/1; 2015: Rikard Karlberg, 70/1; 2014: Hennie Otto, 80/1; 2013: Julien Quesne, 80/1; 2012: Gonzalo Fdez-Castano, 40/1; 2011: Robert Rock, 66/1; 2010: Fredrik Andersson Hed, 66/1.
* Nicolai Hojgaard was a late invite to the 2021 Italian Open and wasn’t quoted pre-event.
Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for the area is here.
Hot and sunny is the simplest of summaries for this week’s play, with virtually unbroken sunshine being accompanied by temperatures nudging 32 Celsius/90 Fahrenheit in the afternoons. The breeze will pick up to 10-15mph in the warmest part of the day to offer just a little respite to the players.
Incoming Form. The incoming form of our recent Italian Open winners is mixed, however all but Ross McGowan in 2020 had recorded a top-16 finish in one of their previous 8 starts:
- 2024, Marcel Siem: 7/MC/20/45/16/36/56/37/23/MC/MC/37
- 2023, Adrian Meronk: 7/34/1/10/MC/4/45/14/MC/17/MC/21
- 2022, Robert MacIntyre: MC/36/77/MC/MC/13/MC/34/20/MC/12/50
- 2021, Nicolai Hojgaard: 15/74/4/40/45/MC/42/14/MC/MC/21/17
- 2020, Ross McGowan: MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/70/MC/55/52/42/67/MC
- 2019, Bernd Wiesberger: 1/8/76/16/2/1/32/30/MC/5/17/MC
- 2018, Thorbjorn Olesen: 5/12/36/53/29/MC/10/MC/46/37/MC/60
- 2017, Tyrrell Hatton: 41/30/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/36/MC/3/8/1
- 2016, Francesco Molinari: 42/17/7/55/MC/34/8/2/36/22/47/MC
- 2015, Rikard Karlberg: MC/21/43/MC/MC/MC/10/MC/9/14/13/36
- 2014, Hennie Otto: 37/37/37/9/5/13/41/13/57/WD/MC/39
- 2013, Julien Quesne: 9/27/MC/MC/68/9/WD/MC/MC/58/41/7
- 2012, Gonzalo Fdez-Castano: 53/MC/2/MC/3/MC/31/54/55/62/76/5
- 2011, Robert Rock: MC/MC/45/20/58/40/19/13/52/29/45/MC
- 2010, Fredrik Andersson-Hed: 35/5/4/MC/4/18/44/7/28/MC/13/17
Event Form. It’s interesting to note that three of the past thirteen winners of the Italian Open had already previously won the title in their career, and eleven of the past fifteen had recorded a top-6 finish or better in this event before their victory.
Multiple winners of this event include Ian Poulter, Bernhard Langer, Sam Torrance and Sandy Lyle and it’s clearly an event, or style of event, that can favour the same types of players year after year – indeed even 2020 shock 750/1 winner Ross McGowan had finished 6th back in 2008:
- 2024, Marcel Siem: 16/6/10/MC/MC/4/46/35/MC/MC/MC/34/MC/26
- 2023, Adrian Meronk: 22/2/MC
- 2022, Robert MacIntyre: 4
- 2021, Nicolai Hojgaard: 16
- 2020, Ross McGowan: 6/MC/MC/51
- 2019, Bernd Wiesberger: MC/15/63/23/6/14/45
- 2018, Thorbjorn Olesen: 2/53/67/MC/32
- 2017, Tyrrell Hatton: MC/45
- 2016, Francesco Molinari: MC/MC/23/MC/13/17/1/3/MC/6/8/46/16/18/20
- 2015, Rikard Karlberg: MC
- 2014, Hennie Otto: MC/47/MC/33/1/MC/7/46/22/8
- 2013, Julien Quesne: MC/MC
- 2012, Gonzalo Fdez-Castano: 6/1/MC
- 2011, Robert Rock: 48/37/MC/56/51/2/17
- 2010, Fredrik Andersson-Hed: MC/9/28/MC/3/MC/54
With a winning total of 18-under at last year’s Italian Challenge on this course, and the fact that this is a resort course fundamentally, with a good weather forecast I’m expecting low scoring. Methodical players who can find a hot putter are most likely to succeed in my view.
My selections are as follows: