The Netherlands is our next stop on the DP World Tour before we break ahead of the US Open. KLM continue their support of this event after a 2-year break after Covid to once again give the Dutch Open a title sponsor, however with a $2.75m prize fund this event is undoubtedly still one of the lower tier affairs on the circuit.
Connor Syme returns to defend his KLM Open title after breaking his DP World Tour maiden here at The International last year, however the Scot sits a fair way down the betting board which is headed marginally by Angel Ayora from the likes of Jayden Schaper and Daniel Hiller at around the 18-20/1 mark.
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Course Overview. Having flitted between Kennemer and Hilversumche since the millennium, the KLM Open has been a little more nomadic in recent years, being hosted three times each at The Dutch from 2016 to 2018 and Bernardus Golf from 2021 to 2023, however this year we return to The International which hosted this event in 2019, 2024 and 2025.
Opened in 2012 and designed by Ian Woosnam, the course is listed as a Par 71 at just 6,914 yards again this year with the short Par-4 11th having been converted to a fifth Par-3 prior to the 2024 event. Other tweaks from 2019 are minor and for all intents and purposes we’re on the same courses and same routing as when Sergio Garcia won here back then with the exception of the changes to the 11th, and as it stands the setup is identical to that which we’ve seen over the past two years.
An exposed, undulating course with wide fairways and large bentgrass greens, the rough is long and thick in places for those venturing off of the straight and narrow, and whilst the par-5s will undoubtedly produce birdies and eagles given their dimensions, that will be best achieved from off the fairway.
As ever with short, exposed tracks, the elements are the course’s best defence, and a fairly breezy forecast should keep a lid on scoring this week.
Tournament Stats. We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s KLM Open, however as noted above The International hosted the event in 2019, 2024 & 2025 only and results outside of those years should be considered accordingly: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader Stats | Combined Stats.
Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here. As always you can build your own model using the variables available.
Winners & Prices. 2025: Connor Syme, 175/1; 2024: Guido Migliozzi, 33/1; 2023: Pablo Larrazabal, 55/1; 2022: Victor Perez, 50/1; 2021: Kristoffer Broberg, 275/1; 2019: Sergio Garcia, 16/1; 2018: Ashun Wu, 125/1; 2017: Romain Wattel, 175/1; 2016: Joost Luiten, 18/1; 2015: Thomas Pieters, 55/1; 2014: Paul Casey, 25/1; 2013: Joost Luiten, 20/1; 2012: Peter Hanson, 22/1; 2011: Simon Dyson, 25/1; 2010: Martin Kaymer, 12/1.
Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for the area is here.
Sunshine and showers is the summary for the 4 days of tournament play, however the real feature may well be the wind. A 15-20mph breeze blowing across The International will make this course a trickier test, with gusts in excess of 30mph possible on Thursday. Temperatures will peak around 18-20 Centigrade, 64-68 Fahrenheit in the afternoons.
Tournament Trends & Key Factors. Analysing the final stats of our three winners here at The International gives us a little more insight into the task at hand:
2025, Connor Syme (-11). 61.5% fairways (17th), 70.8% greens in regulation (10th), 76.2% scrambling (1st), 1.75 putts per GIR (11th)
2024, Guido Migliozzi (-11). 61.5% fairways (35th), 75.9% greens in regulation (6th), 44.4% scrambling (97th), 1.65 putts per GIR (4th)
2019, Sergio Garcia (-18). 60.7% fairways (18th), 83.3% greens in regulation (3rd), 66.7% scrambling (4th), 1.75 putts per GIR (20th).
Overall there was little variance here in 2019 in terms of GIR performance with even those ranking around 50th of the weekend participants hitting 70% or more putting surfaces. Tougher renewals in both 2024 and 2025 saw GIR down in general, however most players were bunched around 65-75% over the course of the week.
In breezy conditions last year, eventual winner Connor Syme topped the Scrambling category on the week whilst ranking top-11 for both GIR and Putting Average, and with similar conditions expected this year that may not be a bad blueprint for success.
Despite having 4 Par-5s on the course, no player in any of the three renewals has managed to reach double-digits under par for the long holes over the 4 days combined, with Garcia’s 7-under a fairly typical score for the leading players in 2019. Migliozzi was just 4-under for the Par-5s in 2024, and although Syme led the field on that count 12 months ago at 9-under, he was the exception rather than the rule.
Strokes Gained: From a Strokes Gained perspective, Sergio Garcia’s metrics in 2019 were pretty much what you’d expect from him with his long game performance shining.
SG Tee to Green was the most consistent stat of the leading performers on the week, with only Matthew Southgate from the top 14 recorded finishers ranking outside the top 17 on that measure for that year.
Guido’s numbers from 2024 and Syme’s from last year were also skewed towards SG Approach and SG Tee to Green, with both men positive in every category from a Strokes Gained perspective:
Key: T: SG Off the Tee; A; SG Approach; T2G: SG Tee to Green; ATG: SG Around the Green; P: SG Putting.
Incoming Form: Connor Syme’s pre-event price of 175/1 was best explained by a form line of MC/MC/MC/MC/59 prior to victory last year, however he had improved the week before in Austria, opening with rounds of 68/69 before tailing off. 9th at the Joburg Open in March had been the Scot’s best finish of the year to date before he captured his maiden DP World Tour title here.
Guido Migliozzi survived a 3-man play-off here in 2024 to capture his 4th DP World Tour title having shown some good form leading up to the event. 2nd at the weather-affected China Open had been followed by a solid 24th at the Soudal Open before he let a great chance slip away when carrying our money in Germany on his last start, eventually finishing 8th.
Pablo Larrazabal’s 9th DP World Tour win followed hot on the heels of his 8th 2 starts prior when the amiable Spaniard won this event at Bernardus Golf in 2023. His form had been average at best until a top-10 finish in India paved the way for a quick-fire double, with a paid weekend at the US PGA Championship wedged in between.
A second DP World Tour title for Victor Perez in 2022 followed some solid if unspectacular form with 2 top-10 finishes in his last 12 starts. 21st at the British Masters and 33rd at the Soudal Open in the immediate build-up to last year’s renewal didn’t scream impending success, however 8th at the ISPS Handa Championship in Spain the previous month had shown some promise at least.
The 275/1 about Kristoffer Broberg in 2021 gives you a clue about his incoming form and just two top-20 finishes in the season to that point hardly hinted at impending success. 6 weeks off since finishing 63rd on his previous start, the Swede coasted to victory having done the hard work over the first 3 days.
Before that, Sergio Garcia’s immediate form was nothing to write home about before he converted this title the in 2019, however he’d sat inside the top 10 heading into Sunday at Crans on his previous start.
Ashun Wu’s patchy season had taken a positive step the week before he obliged for us in this event in 2018 at 125/1, having finished 6th the week before at Crans-sur-Sierre; Wattel was having a poor season before capturing his maiden European Tour title in 2017 and 175/1 was indicative of the year he was having which, until that point, had seen no finish better than 24th on Tour.
Joost Luiten had twice finished runner-up earlier that season, and 33rd at the US PGA as well as 27th at the Olympics was clearly strong form relative to the field in 2016; Pieters had won a fortnight before, gaining his maiden European Tour victory in the Czech Republic; Casey had been playing predominantly in the USA and back-to-back top-22 finishes in higher company.
Luiten in 2013 had won the Lyoness Open earlier in the summer and Peter Hanson had finished 3rd at Augusta that season. Simon Dyson had won the Irish Open 5 events before capturing his 3rd KLM Open title in 2011, and Martin Kaymer’s 4 stroke victory in 2010 was his first start since winning the US PGA Championship at Whistling Straits:
2012, Peter Hanson: 14/52/15/17/3/MC/61/23/63/7/59
2011, Simon Dyson: 5/3/20/MC/MC/25/9/1/33/51/15/16
2010, Martin Kaymer: MC/34/MC/28/12/8/21/6/MC/7/22/1
Event Form. Combined with his patchy (if I’m being polite) current form and the fact that he was making his debut at The International, last year’s winner Connor Syme was difficult to find. Wider event form here in the Netherlands of 57/MC/48 didn’t offer many clues either.
2024 winner Guido Migliozzi was making his competitive debut at The International, however he’d shown some aptitude in the Netherlands prior to that at Bernardus Golf on debut in 2022, sitting in 3rd place heading into Sunday before eventually finishing 10th, and we know from past experience that Dutch form seems to carry across courses.
Pablo Larrazabal’s form at the KLM Open was strong from his previous starts at various venues with 5 consecutive top-20 finishes and a best of 2nd back in 2012 to his name, so picking him on a combination of current and event form in 2023 wasn’t overly difficult.
Prior to that, there are no real clues from the previous 3 winners of this event as Sergio Garcia’s win in 2019 was both his first attempt at the Dutch Open and his competitive debut in Holland full stop. Kristoffer Broberg’s trio of missed cuts wasn’t exactly screaming for him to be backed in 2021 and Victor Perez’s only previous visit to Holland had also ended on the Friday.
2018 winner Ashun Wu had fairly non-descript event form before winning, however he’d sat in 6th position going into the weekend the year before to give some indication that he was comfortable on the course and in the area.
2017 winner Romain Wattel had missed the cut at The Dutch on his previous attempt, however a 5th place finish at Kennemer in 2014 masks the fact that he led by 3 shots going into the final round before stumbling to a closing 74.
2016 winner Joost Luiten won this event for the 2nd time having previously triumphed in 2013, whereas 2011 winner Simon Dyson has notched 3 KLM Open successes over his career:
2025, Connor Syme: 57/MC/48
2024, Guido Migliozzi: 10/MC
2023, Pablo Larrazabal: MC/34/MC/2/9/5/20/11
2022, Victor Perez: MC
2021, Kristoffer Broberg: MC/MC/MC
2019, Sergio Garcia: Debut
2018, Ashun Wu: 46/31
2017, Romain Wattel: MC/MC/MC/5/MC/MC
2016, Joost Luiten: MC/MC/2/MC/MC/57/6/MC/1/5/23
2015, Thomas Pieters: 30/22
2014, Paul Casey: 46/41
2013, Joost Luiten: MC/MC/2/MC/MC/57/6/MC
2012, Peter Hanson: 28/MC
2011, Simon Dyson: 60/1/27/12/1/MC
2010, Martin Kaymer: 55
With trickier conditions in 2024 and 2025 compared to 2019 here at The International the winning total came down from 18-under to 11-under, and with a stiff breeze likely at least for the start of this year’s event, I’d expect another similar winning total to the last two renewals. A patient approach that minimises bogeys may well be the key to success in 2026.
My selections are as follows:
Jacob Skov Olesen 2.5pts EW 25/1 (8EW, 1/5) with BetFred
With Sepp Straka’s fleeting visit behind us and with the LIV contingent playing over in Spain, we’re left with a regular DP World Tour field and with it a more typical betting market with the likes of Angel Ayora, Jayden Schaper and Daniel Hillier chalked up as the men to beat.
The International is one of the more susceptible courses when it comes to the elements though, and with some wind and rain in the forecast I’m more inclined to go with a team slightly more accustomed to the vagaries of northern Europe’s weather patterns – and to that end I can see talented Dane Jacob Skov Olesen breaking his DP World Tour maiden here this week.
Olesen turned professional in 2024 following a successful Q-School campaign, having already won the Amateur Championship earlier that year at Ballyliffin which was our first clue that anything exposed to the elements, either seaside or inland as we are this week, could be where his strengths lie. A tie for the first round lead at last year’s Open Championship did little to change that view, neither did top-5 finishes at the Nexo Championship and Alfred Dunhill Links as he retained his card with consummate ease, eventually finishing in a tie for 11th at the DP World Tour Championship.
2026, if anything, has shown even more promise with 3rd in Qatar, 5th in Kenya, 4th in Turkey and 2nd in Belgium the highlights thus far, and for me he’s very much a winner in waiting now that he’s beginning to see some of the Tour’s venues for a second time.
19th here last year on his debut at The International was promising, not least in that he was Strokes Gained positive in every category for the week. A year later and with the experience of multiple contending performances under his belt, this could well be the week that everything falls into place for the 27 year-old.
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Bernd Wiesberger 1.5pts EW 40/1 (8EW, 1/5) with BetFred
Last week’s 4th place finish for Bernd Wiesberger may not have been quite what he was hoping for at his home Open Championship, however there’s undoubtedly enough in his game to suggest that he can push on from that effort this week.
Having already won just over a month ago in China and now up to 12th in the Race to Dubai, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the 40 year-old redouble his efforts with the prospect of a PGA Tour card for next year staring him in the face. We’ve already seen Jayden Schaper, Patrick Reed and Casey Jarvis win twice in quick succession this season to put themselves on the verge of playing State-side golf in 2027, and Bernd has previous when it comes to rattling off victories, winning twice in 2012 and three times in 2019. Put simply, when he finds top gear he can stay there, particularly at this kind of level.
The Austrian has always been one of the better iron-play merchants over the years, an attribute which I like for this week and which is backed up by his season-long ranking of 8th for SG Approach and 23rd for GIR, however it’s his performances around the greens which have caught the eye of late and which could be of equal importance this week given what we say last year in similar conditions from Connor Syme. 1st for Scrambling when victorious in China at the end of April, Bernd also got up and down 78.9% of the time last week in Austria, ranking 8th on that count on the week.
2nd and 9th at The Dutch in the 2016/27 renewals of this event, Wiesberger also finished 7th here on course debut in 2024 to suggest a liking for this layout. 46th last year when in nothing like the form he’s in right now can be disregarded in my view and I can see him contending for a 10th career DP World Tour title here this week.
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We scored with Grant Forrest at last year’s Nexo Championship at a breezy Trump Aberdeen after he’d shown some promise on his previous start, and the Scot could follow in his compatriot Connor Syme’s footsteps this week in what might prove to be very Scottish-like conditions.
22nd at a star-studded Scottish Open had preceded that victory after a couple of humdrum efforts, so last week’s 12th place finish in Austria should be taken as a positive following missed cuts in Spain and Belgium prior to that. The 32 year-old was Strokes Gained positive in every category last week, shooting rounds of 69/65/67/67 to improve his position every day, and the prospect of a more challenging week should appeal given the 8-under winning total he achieved on the Scottish coast last year when winning by 4 shots.
13th here at The International was Grant’s best finish of the season before his victory on home soil, building on an 8th place finish two years prior in this event at Bernardus Golf, and with his stock on the rise again I can see him improving on those two efforts here this week.
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Marcus Armitage 1pt EW 60/1 (8EW, 1/5) with BetFred
Finally, I’ll take a chance on getting the right kind of week out of Marcus Armitage who’s shown enough positive form this year so far to suggest that he could be close to adding a second DP World Tour title to his CV.
His solitary victory came on a tough set-up in Germany at the 2021 Porsche European Open, winning by 2 in a weather-shortened event at Green Eagle Golf Courses, and the threat of more challenging conditions may well play into The Bullet’s hands here this week.
Since that victory the 38 year-old has finished runner-up on three occasions at the 2023 Dunhill Links, the 2025 Ras Al Khaimah Championship, and more recently a the Soudal Open just a fortnight ago. That was his 5th top-10 finish of the season, and after a quieter week in Austria perhaps he’ll be rejuvenated and ready to attack here in the Netherlands.
Typically a strong iron player first and foremost with the ability to shape the ball to suit a course or conditions, it’s been noticeable that the putter’s been doing much of the hard work of late which makes him an interest prospect this week if he can find his A game with from tee to green. 15th for SG Putting in Turkey, 10th on the same count in Belgium, and then a field-leading 8 Strokes Gained on the putting surfaces last week in Austria must have the Englishman excited about his prospects heading into this week.
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